Do I ship it?

GamesSpace SimSpace Sim + Tactical RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical RPG Space Sim?

Space Sim + Tactical RPG

Only 9 developers shipped a Tactical RPG Space Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deck & Conn, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $900. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 15 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 15 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Space Sim + Tactical RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $809 → $3.6k → $8.1k (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Space Sim + Tactical RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,092)
Top 5% $49k (exactly $49,467)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 39
Announced 15
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 700% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Space Sim
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Space Sim, Tactical RPG
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 79% positive over 194 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $8.0k, 1 in 20 over $49k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 15 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Space Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DestructionFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair9 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  3. + WarFair34 devs · median $1.3k · 42 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair16 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  5. + SportsFair8 devs · median $479 · 9 announced
  6. + DiplomacyLong shot7 devs · median $360 · 14 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds18 devs · median $6.3k · 39 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds18 devs · median $4.9k · 63 announced
  9. + Strategy RPGPoor odds8 devs · median $4.9k · 21 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds86 devs · median $4.6k · 213 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds42 devs · median $4.6k · 91 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds67 devs · median $4.5k · 160 announced

All 114 pairs on the Space Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Starpoint Gemini Warlords older $34.99 3,076 72% 92k $3.2M (exactly $3,228,877) Little Green Men Games
Starpoint Gemini 2 older $34.99 3,021 70% 91k $3.2M (exactly $3,171,144) Little Green Men Games
Between the Stars older $29.99 1,965 75% 59k $1.8M (exactly $1,767,910) Isolated Games
Star Traders: Frontiers older $14.99 3,672 83% 110k $1.7M (exactly $1,651,298) Trese Brothers
Deck & Conn $14.99 110 74% 3.3k $49k (exactly $49,467) Funtime Electrics
Auralux: Constellations older $9.99 153 79% 4.6k $46k (exactly $45,854) Grove Street Games, E McNeill
Space Cats Tactics older $14.99 100 74% 3.0k $45k (exactly $44,970) Mitzi Games, Alex Nicola
ReEarth older $7.99 116 74% 3.5k $28k (exactly $27,805) Jiangzuogongfang Shanghai Game Co.,Ltd
Spacefleet: Heat Death · EA $11.99 36 86% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,949) Spacezero Interactive
Null Hørizøn $9.99 27 85% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) HopefullyHeroic
Epic Space Trader · EA $5.99 12 91% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) Digital Tectonics, LLC
Hired Stars · EA $19.99 3 66% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Mark Kaps
Stellar Odyssey · EA $14.99 2 100% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Warp Studios Pty Ltd
SunWars $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Bode
Ironseed 3 : Vigil $17.99 1 100% 30 $540 (exactly $540) Robert Morgan
Ironseed : Lost Chapter $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Robert Morgan
RobotAssembly · EA $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) ONEKICK CO.,LTD.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.