Games › Open World Survival Craft › Open World Survival Craft + Physics
Should I ship a Physics Open World Survival Craft?
Open World Survival Craft + Physics
Only 8 developers shipped a Physics Open World Survival Craft in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lost Skies, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 9 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $180k, ×136 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $18k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.8M, ×1375 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 27 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $18k (exactly $17,991) |
|---|---|
| Median | $183k (exactly $182,908) |
| Top 25% | $1.1M (exactly $1,135,421) |
| Top 5% | $1.9M (exactly $1,851,759) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $19.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World Survival Craft
- effort 9 / 10 · low · dedicated multiplayer servers over a huge content build
- Physics
- effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Open World Survival Craft, Physics
- Price point
- $19.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $18.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 113,371 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $18k. 27 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World Survival Craft with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + AutomationFair
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + MedievalPoor odds
- + ShooterPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + Sci-fiPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Stormworks: Build and Rescue | older | $24.99 | 54,649 90% | 1.6M | $41M (exactly $40,970,355) | Geometa |
| | Empyrion - Galactic Survival | older | $19.99 | 29,204 78% | 876k | $18M (exactly $17,513,639) | Eleon Game Studios |
| | TerraTech | older | $24.99 | 20,564 92% | 617k | $15M (exactly $15,416,831) | Payload Studios |
| | Lost Skies | $24.99 | 2,470 63% | 74k | $1.9M (exactly $1,851,759) | Bossa Studios | |
| | Dig or Die | older | $11.99 | 3,863 90% | 116k | $1.4M (exactly $1,389,521) | Gaddy Games |
| | ALL WILL FALL | $29.99 | 1,262 76% | 38k | $1.1M (exactly $1,135,421) | All Parts Connected | |
| | CleanFall | · EA | $19.99 | 492 92% | 15k | $295k (exactly $295,052) | Humanyoyo |
| | Primitier | $19.99 | 305 94% | 9.2k | $183k (exactly $182,908) | Ota Mato | |
| | Strayed | · EA older | $14.99 | 402 76% | 12k | $181k (exactly $180,779) | Crustacean Interactive |
| | vrkshop | older | $19.99 | 160 83% | 4.8k | $96k (exactly $95,952) | scopatgames |
| | Grim | $19.99 | 131 53% | 3.9k | $79k (exactly $78,561) | Spoonfed Interactive | |
| | Neolithic Dawn | $19.99 | 30 60% | 900 | $18k (exactly $17,991) | Neolithic LLC | |
| | debris | $9.99 | 6 16% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Evar Space | |
| | Stellar Archipelago | $12.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Gogodinosaur |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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