Do I ship it?

GamesSportsSports + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror Sports game?

Sports + Horror

Of 21 developers who shipped a Horror Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Revenue is up 95% on the market; 13 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 95% on the market, 13 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $748 → $6.6k → $239 → $28k → $1.3k → $13k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,307)
Top 25% $27k (exactly $27,431)
Top 5% $258k (exactly $258,432)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 100
Announced 13
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Online Co-Op, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Comedy, Funny, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 18,117 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $27k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Le Mans Ultimate $39.99 15,068 79% 452k $18M (exactly $18,077,080) Studio 397
Harry Potter: Quidditch Champions older $29.99 2,790 73% 84k $2.5M (exactly $2,510,163) Unbroken Studios
Cricket 22 older $44.99 1,717 81% 52k $2.3M (exactly $2,317,435) Big Ant Studios
Ben and Ed older $9.99 4,592 82% 138k $1.4M (exactly $1,376,222) Sluggerfly
Nine-Ball Roulette $3.99 2,159 88% 65k $258k (exactly $258,432) WaveBox Labs
House of Detention older $0.99 8,413 91% 252k $250k (exactly $249,866) Aniki, Male Union ♂
The Demon Lord is New in Town! older $24.99 119 70% 3.6k $89k (exactly $89,214) Daijyobi Institute
Mister Furry: Hot Muscles older $0.99 2,576 92% 77k $77k (exactly $76,507) Red Six Development, Male Union
Zombie Bowl-o-Rama older $9.99 218 94% 6.5k $65k (exactly $65,335) MumboJumbo
City Climber older $4.99 367 76% 11k $55k (exactly $54,940) Ondrej Angelovic
KUNKUN Defender 2 $4.99 294 94% 8.8k $44k (exactly $44,012) Seal
Death by Scrolling $7.99 177 77% 5.3k $42k (exactly $42,427) Terrible Toybox NZ
Leftovers KO! $9.99 92 66% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,572) Mountain Man Animation
Midnight Hoops $3.49 262 89% 7.9k $27k (exactly $27,431) netshrub
Splash Shot Golf Legend $19.99 22 54% 660 $13k (exactly $13,193) TANUKIHOUSE
Maniac Path 4 $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Gamesforgames
Monster Yoga 👉👌 $4.99 17 82% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) TheBigO Games
Submansion $4.99 15 93% 450 $2.2k (exactly $2,246) Hrybochky studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.