Games › Otome › Otome + Horror
Should I ship a Horror Otome?
Otome + Horror
Only 15 developers shipped a Horror Otome in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Homicipher, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.7k, ×9.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $3.2M, ×6910 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 44 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.3k (exactly $2,338) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.7k (exactly $4,680) |
| Top 25% | $17k (exactly $17,391) |
| Top 5% | $3.3M (exactly $3,282,474) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 48 |
| Announced | 44 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $12.00 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Otome; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Multiple Endings, Adventure, Dating Sim
- Price point
- $12.00 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $12.00.
The top 10 games average 96% positive over 8,212 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Otome with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + IncrementalStrong odds
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + Interactive FictionPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Word GamePoor odds
- + MysteryPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Homicipher | $13.99 | 7,821 96% | 235k | $3.3M (exactly $3,282,474) | 八名木Games | |
| | Amnesia™: Memories | older | $9.99 | 3,721 92% | 112k | $1.1M (exactly $1,115,184) | Idea Factory, Design Factory |
| | 7'scarlet | older | $29.99 | 796 74% | 24k | $716k (exactly $716,161) | IDEA FACTORY, TOYBOX |
| | Nameless ~The one thing you must recall~ | older | $29.99 | 633 92% | 19k | $570k (exactly $569,510) | Sujin Ri, Yunjeong Yun, Hyein Go, Minsu… (Sujin Ri, Yunjeong Yun, Hyein Go, Minsu Ock, Marcos Arroyo, Seona Lee, Sohyeon Jeon) |
| | Hatoful Boyfriend: Holiday Star | older | $9.99 | 469 94% | 14k | $141k (exactly $140,559) | Mediatonic |
| | When The Night Comes | older | $12.99 | 289 92% | 8.7k | $113k (exactly $112,623) | Lunaris Games |
| | Crimson Spires | older | $19.99 | 82 86% | 2.5k | $49k (exactly $49,175) | Woodsy Studio |
| | Veloria | $14.99 | 100 89% | 3.0k | $45k (exactly $44,970) | WANDERING WITCH PROIECTUM | |
| | Particles of Reality | older | $29.99 | 49 89% | 1.5k | $44k (exactly $44,085) | Arewar Games |
| | Nicole | older | $18.99 | 76 75% | 2.3k | $43k (exactly $43,297) | Winter Wolves |
| | Lover's Enigma | $11.99 | 98 87% | 2.9k | $35k (exactly $35,251) | FallenCranberry Studio | |
| | AnnaRedux | $19.99 | 29 79% | 870 | $17k (exactly $17,391) | 那什么游戏制作日记 | |
| | A Killer Chat! Christmas | $9.99 | 50 100% | 1.5k | $15k (exactly $14,985) | rosesrot | |
| | Jezebel | · EA | $14.99 | 23 100% | 690 | $10k (exactly $10,343) | Pengo Productions |
| | Metamorph | $4.99 | 36 91% | 1.1k | $5.4k (exactly $5,389) | Jackdaw Games | |
| | Darling, Darling... Dead? | $12.00 | 13 100% | 390 | $4.7k (exactly $4,680) | Chthonic Chrome Studio | |
| | Saccharine Echo | $4.99 | 27 85% | 810 | $4.0k (exactly $4,042) | Neverliss | |
| | Spooky Monster | $5.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $2.7k (exactly $2,696) | 雉野ハチ |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.