Games › Otome › Otome + Historical
Should I ship a Historical Otome?
Otome + Historical
Only 13 developers shipped a Historical Otome in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Meiji Tokyo Renka Full Moon, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.1k, ×8.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $350k, ×562 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.1k (exactly $5,097) |
| Top 25% | $34k (exactly $33,592) |
| Top 5% | $353k (exactly $352,741) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 39 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Otome
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
- Historical
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Otome
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 659 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 5 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Otome with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + IncrementalStrong odds
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + Interactive FictionPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Word GamePoor odds
- + MysteryPoor odds
Comparable games
My Vow to My Liege 2020 · $1.2M 
Hakuoki: Kyoto Winds 2017 · $585k 
Touken Ranbu Warriors 2022 · $355k 
Meiji Tokyo Renka Full Moon 2024 · $353k 
Ken ga Kimi: Momoyo Tsuzuri 2020 · $286k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | My Vow to My Liege | older | $9.99 | 3,844 91% | 115k | $1.2M (exactly $1,152,047) | YETU GAME |
| | Hakuoki: Kyoto Winds | older | $9.99 | 1,952 92% | 59k | $585k (exactly $585,014) | Idea Factory, Design Factory |
| | Touken Ranbu Warriors | older | $59.99 | 197 87% | 5.9k | $355k (exactly $354,541) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Meiji Tokyo Renka Full Moon | $59.99 | 196 91% | 5.9k | $353k (exactly $352,741) | dramatic create | |
| | Ken ga Kimi: Momoyo Tsuzuri | older | $49.99 | 191 86% | 5.7k | $286k (exactly $286,443) | Rejet |
 | Hakuoki: Edo Blossoms | older | $9.99 | 928 95% | 28k | $278k (exactly $278,122) | Idea Factory, Design Factory |
 | Ambition: A Minuet in Power | older | $20.99 | 334 85% | 10k | $210k (exactly $210,320) | Joy Manufacturing Co. |
 | Lost in Secular Love | older | $9.99 | 500 86% | 15k | $150k (exactly $149,850) | YETU GAME |
 | Sigh of the Abyss | $17.99 | 164 96% | 4.9k | $89k (exactly $88,511) | Rascal Devworks | |
 | 봄이 오면 꽃이 피고 | · EA older | $34.99 | 66 93% | 2.0k | $69k (exactly $69,280) | TeamOGM |
 | The Dawning Letters -Sunrise- | $6.99 | 161 95% | 4.8k | $34k (exactly $33,762) | 戏幻言制作组 | |
 | Genso Manège | $39.99 | 28 82% | 840 | $34k (exactly $33,592) | MAGES. Inc. | |
 | 幻想 · 遇见秦始皇 Fantasy Encountering Emperor Qin Shi Huang | $6.99 | 25 84% | 750 | $5.2k (exactly $5,242) | 红豆游戏 | |
 | Pre-Odyssey: Love at First Quack | $5.99 | 29 93% | 870 | $5.2k (exactly $5,211) | Anta | |
 | Crimson Waves on the Emerald Sea: Amaranthine Moon | $16.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $5.1k (exactly $5,097) | Crystal Game Works | |
 | Saccharine Echo | $4.99 | 27 85% | 810 | $4.0k (exactly $4,042) | Neverliss | |
 | SPEAKEASY: Last Call | $6.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $1.9k (exactly $1,887) | Open Late Games | |
 | 绝世千金重启版-Unique Lady | $4.99 | 10 40% | 300 | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) | 上海酷影, 橙光游戏, SleepwalkStudio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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