Do I ship it?

GamesSportsSports + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hidden Object Sports game?

Sports + Hidden Object

Only 12 developers shipped a Hidden Object Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, run for money Hunter vs. Runner! Which side will you win!?, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $120. Revenue is up 90% on the market; 9 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 90% on the market, 9 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $600 → $1.5k → $600 (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $600 (exactly $600)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 5% $4.5k (exactly $4,498)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 90
Announced 9
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 90% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports, Hidden Object
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 88% positive over 101 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $4.4k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
PropHunter · EA older $3.99 917 79% 28k $110k (exactly $109,765) Alone Fox Games
Climber: Sky is the Limit older $21.99 142 69% 4.3k $94k (exactly $93,677) A2 Softworks, Art Games Studio S.A.
Mahjong World Contest (麻将) older $14.99 193 88% 5.8k $87k (exactly $86,792) Creobit
Mad Experiments: Escape Room 2 older $12.99 69 65% 2.1k $27k (exactly $26,889) PlayTogether Studio
Touchdown Girls older $11.99 47 38% 1.4k $17k (exactly $16,906) Entropy Digital Entertainment
House of Lizards older $0.99 405 85% 12k $12k (exactly $12,028) Ancient Russ
Roller Drama older $14.99 19 84% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Open Lab Games
Xeno Runners older $4.99 32 93% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) Atchio Games
run for money Hunter vs. Runner! Which side will you win!? $29.99 5 80% 150 $4.5k (exactly $4,498) INFINITY Co., Ltd.
Prop Sumo $9.99 13 84% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Barrel Roll Games
Fishing on the Fly $9.99 10 50% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Numicus Studios, MacClark.com
Coloring Cats: Sports With Friends $1.99 38 97% 1.1k $2.3k (exactly $2,269) Mens Sana Interactive
Ride It! $2.80 12 100% 360 $1.0k (exactly $1,008) dpm, Revi, GatoHolguera
Urban Golf: Hot Dog Edition $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) MatthewHall3D
Emergency Roadside Assistance $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) CDIS Lab.
Hentai Gymnast Scarlett $0.99 19 84% 570 $564 (exactly $564) Cyber Keks
My Gym Adventure! $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) 430Games
Merge Pineapple $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 0cd studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.