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Should I ship a Tower Defense Hex Grid game?
Hex Grid + Tower Defense
Only 16 developers shipped a Tower Defense Hex Grid game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hive Blight, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59. 27 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper, while revenue is up 575% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $59 (exactly $59) |
|---|---|
| Median | $300 (exactly $300) |
| Top 25% | $5.5k (exactly $5,456) |
| Top 5% | $138k (exactly $137,515) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 575% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Hex Grid
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Tower Defense
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Hex Grid, Tower Defense; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy, Card Game
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 509 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Hex Grid with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Strategy RPGPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + Card BattlerPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + RoguelikePoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Hexguardian | older | $11.99 | 617 78% | 19k | $222k (exactly $221,935) | Split Second Games |
| | Hive Blight | · EA | $12.49 | 367 94% | 11k | $138k (exactly $137,515) | OptizOnion |
| | Role of Hex | older | $9.99 | 93 69% | 2.8k | $28k (exactly $27,872) | Verde |
| | Castle Constructor | older | $11.99 | 72 80% | 2.2k | $26k (exactly $25,898) | Sisyphean Games |
| | Transport Legion | $8.99 | 76 81% | 2.3k | $20k (exactly $20,497) | 喜人一个 | |
| | They Came From Below | older | $24.99 | 17 58% | 510 | $13k (exactly $12,745) | Piece Of Voxel |
| | Hexrogue | older | $8.99 | 30 93% | 900 | $8.1k (exactly $8,091) | FRIVER |
| | HexaScape: Cyber Defense | $14.99 | 15 100% | 450 | $6.7k (exactly $6,746) | Clockwork Origins | |
| | Defense&Making | · EA | $13.99 | 13 76% | 390 | $5.5k (exactly $5,456) | 3DAYS |
| | Hexagonal Tower | older | $2.99 | 53 52% | 1.6k | $4.8k (exactly $4,754) | Z.F. Gams |
| | America Against Ants | $14.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $4.0k (exactly $4,047) | Aartform Games, Mark Brendan | |
| | Treasure's Mine! | $4.99 | 22 100% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | FatFishGame | |
| | Train Trek | · EA | $14.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $899 (exactly $899) | Aixceptional |
| | Catnip Wars | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Ender Knight | |
| | Tiny Kings | · EA | $4.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Floating Chicken Games |
| | Last Throne | · EA | $3.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $239 (exactly $239) | LKHGames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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