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Should I ship a Space Hex Grid game?
Hex Grid + Space
Of 20 developers who shipped a Space Hex Grid game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $65k, ×105 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 33 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) |
| Top 25% | $19k (exactly $18,591) |
| Top 5% | $66k (exactly $65,656) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 71 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Hex Grid; all of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Combat, Turn-Based Tactics
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $22.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $22.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 469 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Hex Grid with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Strategy RPGPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + Card BattlerPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + RoguelikePoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sid Meier's Civilization®: Beyond Earth™ | older | $39.99 | 14,047 61% | 421k | $17M (exactly $16,852,186) | Firaxis Games, Aspyr (Mac), Aspyr (Linu… (Firaxis Games, Aspyr (Mac), Aspyr (Linux)) |
| | Galactic Civilizations III | older | $29.99 | 8,337 77% | 250k | $7.5M (exactly $7,500,799) | Stardock Entertainment |
| | Age of Wonders: Planetfall | older | $29.99 | 4,758 80% | 143k | $4.3M (exactly $4,280,773) | Triumph Studios |
| | Terraforming Mars | older | $19.99 | 5,194 71% | 156k | $3.1M (exactly $3,114,842) | Artefacts Studio |
| | Galactic Civilizations IV | older | $39.99 | 2,207 72% | 66k | $2.6M (exactly $2,647,738) | Stardock Entertainment |
| | Crying Suns | older | $24.99 | 3,149 85% | 94k | $2.4M (exactly $2,360,805) | Alt Shift |
| | Shadow Empire | older | $39.99 | 1,431 82% | 43k | $1.7M (exactly $1,716,771) | VR Designs |
| | Before We Leave | older | $19.99 | 1,278 78% | 38k | $766k (exactly $766,417) | Balancing Monkey Games |
| | Pandora: First Contact | older | $29.99 | 538 61% | 16k | $484k (exactly $484,039) | Proxy Studios |
| | Final Theory | older | $14.99 | 386 79% | 12k | $174k (exactly $173,584) | Monticube |
| | Clonizer | $14.99 | 146 82% | 4.4k | $66k (exactly $65,656) | Juicy Plume | |
| | Space Imperia 4X | $22.99 | 70 92% | 2.1k | $48k (exactly $48,279) | Breich Games | |
| | Eclipse - 2nd Dawn for the Galaxy | $12.99 | 95 57% | 2.9k | $37k (exactly $37,022) | BrettspielWelt GmbH | |
| | Astro Protocol | $11.99 | 66 93% | 2.0k | $24k (exactly $23,740) | Null Vector Studios | |
| | Xenowars | $19.99 | 31 83% | 930 | $19k (exactly $18,591) | Strategeion Studios | |
| | Starbug Troopers : The 4 horseflies of the apocalypse | $8.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $3.5k (exactly $3,506) | Big Loot Games | |
| | Destination Gemini | $8.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $3.5k (exactly $3,506) | Hubert Cachat | |
| | UniWar | $7.99 | 14 71% | 420 | $3.4k (exactly $3,356) | Spooky House | |
| | Orbiteers | $4.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | Northborne Studios | |
| | Hexfactory | $4.99 | 10 60% | 300 | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) | Aquila Industrial |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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