Do I ship it?

GamesHex GridHex Grid + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Score Attack Hex Grid game?

Hex Grid + Score Attack

Only 16 developers shipped a Score Attack Hex Grid game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Feed the Scorchpot, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 8 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 615% on the market, 8 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hex Grid + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $599 (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hex Grid + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $748 (exactly $748)
Top 5% $167k (exactly $166,839)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 32
Announced 8
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 615% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hex Grid
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Hex Grid, Score Attack; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Logic, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Minimalist, Relaxing, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 420 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $240, 1 in 4 over $740, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 8 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hex Grid with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Local MultiplayerFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Open WorldPoor odds12 devs · median $24k · 20 announced
  3. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds7 devs · median $19k · 18 announced
  4. + Turn-BasedPoor odds22 devs · median $13k · 35 announced
  5. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $12k · 40 announced
  6. + ExplorationPoor odds35 devs · median $12k · 55 announced
  7. + RPGPoor odds39 devs · median $10k · 96 announced
  8. + Strategy RPGPoor odds26 devs · median $10k · 60 announced
  9. + 4XPoor odds26 devs · median $9.9k · 60 announced
  10. + Card BattlerPoor odds12 devs · median $8.2k · 29 announced
  11. + RoguelitePoor odds42 devs · median $7.9k · 101 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds37 devs · median $7.8k · 102 announced

All 69 pairs on the Hex Grid page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Feed the Scorchpot $14.99 371 87% 11k $167k (exactly $166,839) Moravian
Hexologic older $4.99 684 96% 21k $102k (exactly $102,395) MythicOwl
Evergarden older $9.99 120 87% 3.6k $36k (exactly $35,964) Flippfly LLC
Oxytone older $6.99 119 93% 3.6k $25k (exactly $24,954) OxGames
Grav Blazer older $4.99 69 59% 2.1k $10k (exactly $10,329) Ripknot Systems
hexurb older $4.99 57 73% 1.7k $8.5k (exactly $8,533) byMixNez
Match Village older $3.99 51 84% 1.5k $6.1k (exactly $6,105) Rising Moon Games
Matching Meadows older $4.99 22 100% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Squeezecat
HEXA-WORLD-3D $2.99 20 90% 600 $1.8k (exactly $1,794) Hell games
Orbiteers $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Northborne Studios
Hexara $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Omnivorian
Network Notation $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Matchbox Games LLC
My Tiny Landscape $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Radiant Sloth
Blobbton $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Savu Interactive
Bubblecore: Survivors $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) King Suslik Games
PSolTrix $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) MechanicsDriven
Gordian $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) CHQ

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.