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Should I ship a Military Hex Grid game?
Hex Grid + Military
Of 25 developers who shipped a Military Hex Grid game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.4k, ×5.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $64k, ×103 the market median. Revenue is up 110% on the market; 43 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $629 (exactly $629) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.4k (exactly $3,356) |
| Top 25% | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) |
| Top 5% | $65k (exactly $64,789) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 25 |
| Released games | 101 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 110% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Hex Grid; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy, Wargame
- Price point
- $11.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.95 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.95 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 48% positive over 45,085 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $630. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Hex Grid with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Strategy RPGPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + Card BattlerPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + RoguelikePoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sid Meier's Civilization VII | $69.99 | 44,789 48% | 1.3M | $94M (exactly $94,043,463) | Firaxis Games | |
| | Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War | older | $39.99 | 8,148 82% | 244k | $9.8M (exactly $9,775,156) | Proxy Studios |
| | Panzer Corps 2 | older | $39.99 | 3,512 84% | 105k | $4.2M (exactly $4,213,346) | Flashback Games |
| | Millennia | older | $39.99 | 2,976 67% | 89k | $3.6M (exactly $3,570,307) | C Prompt Games |
| | Panzer Corps Gold | older | $29.99 | 2,227 91% | 67k | $2.0M (exactly $2,003,632) | Flashback Games, The Lordz Games Studio |
| | Unity of Command II | older | $29.99 | 2,042 79% | 61k | $1.8M (exactly $1,837,187) | 2x2 Games, Croteam |
| | Fantasy General II | older | $39.99 | 1,034 82% | 31k | $1.2M (exactly $1,240,490) | Owned by Gravity |
| | The Troop | older | $39.99 | 816 83% | 24k | $979k (exactly $978,955) | Giant Flame |
| | Hexarchy | older | $19.99 | 1,231 83% | 37k | $738k (exactly $738,231) | Main Tank Software |
| | Hex of Steel | older | $24.99 | 863 95% | 26k | $647k (exactly $646,991) | War Frogs Studio |
| | 大戦略SSB2 | $59.99 | 36 66% | 1.1k | $65k (exactly $64,789) | Systemsoft beta, Inc. | |
| | Space Imperia 4X | $22.99 | 70 92% | 2.1k | $48k (exactly $48,279) | Breich Games | |
| | Sword & Siege Crusades: Book I | $39.95 | 19 100% | 570 | $23k (exactly $22,772) | Wargame Design Studio | |
| | Combat Directive : Napoleonic Wars | $19.99 | 36 88% | 1.1k | $22k (exactly $21,589) | Fatice Games | |
| | Great Powers | $14.99 | 37 67% | 1.1k | $17k (exactly $16,639) | Flame-Dragons, Flame-Dragons | |
| | 1953: NATO vs Warsaw Pact | $5.99 | 70 41% | 2.1k | $13k (exactly $12,579) | Wastelands Interactive | |
| | American Revolutionary War | $39.95 | 9 100% | 270 | $11k (exactly $10,786) | Wargame Design Studio | |
| | Sword & Siege Age of Longbow: Volume I | $39.95 | 7 100% | 210 | $8.4k (exactly $8,390) | Wargame Design Studio | |
| | Cold War Battles | $19.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) | Kudos Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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