Games › Hex Grid › Hex Grid + Match 3
Should I ship a Match 3 Hex Grid game?
Hex Grid + Match 3
Only 6 developers shipped a Match 3 Hex Grid game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hexara, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $120 against a market of $480. 7 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $119 (exactly $119) |
| Top 25% | $119 (exactly $119) |
| Top 5% | $748 (exactly $748) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 7 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Hex Grid, Match 3
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 554 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Hex Grid with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Strategy RPGPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + Card BattlerPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + RoguelikePoor odds
Comparable games
Minesweeper: Collector 2020 · $32k 
Minesweeper Collector 2 2024 · $29k 
Match Village 2022 · $6.1k 
Hanoi Puzzles: Solid Match 2020 · $4.8k 
Azkend 2: The World Beneath 2017 · $3.4k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Minesweeper: Collector | older | $7.99 | 132 88% | 4.0k | $32k (exactly $31,640) | Anton Kryukov |
| | Minesweeper Collector 2 | older | $9.99 | 97 89% | 2.9k | $29k (exactly $29,071) | Anton Kryukov |
| | Match Village | older | $3.99 | 51 84% | 1.5k | $6.1k (exactly $6,105) | Rising Moon Games |
| | Hanoi Puzzles: Solid Match | older | $2.99 | 53 94% | 1.6k | $4.8k (exactly $4,754) | Hanoi Studios |
| | Azkend 2: The World Beneath | older | $7.99 | 14 71% | 420 | $3.4k (exactly $3,356) | 10tons Ltd |
 | Hentai Chicks 2 | older | $0.99 | 112 77% | 3.4k | $3.3k (exactly $3,326) | SYNERGY |
 | Jewel Puzzle Click | older | $4.99 | 19 68% | 570 | $2.8k (exactly $2,844) | Sabrina Aridi |
 | Swipe Fruit Smash | older | $4.99 | 16 81% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | Sabrina Aridi |
 | Hanoi Puzzles: Flip Match | older | $2.99 | 19 94% | 570 | $1.7k (exactly $1,704) | Hanoi Studios |
 | Milky Way Map | older | $0.99 | 41 85% | 1.2k | $1.2k (exactly $1,218) | Wijat |
 | Hexara | $4.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Omnivorian | |
 | Hexa Fusion 2048 | $1.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $119 (exactly $119) | Boogygames Studios | |
 | Hex and Chill | $1.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $119 (exactly $119) | WantagameMakeagame | |
 | Glowing Hexagon | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | Wijat | |
 | Ancient Wonders Atlantis | $6.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Seven Sails Games | |
 | Foodie Tour | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | FictionKing |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.