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Should I ship a Magic Hex Grid game?
Hex Grid + Magic
Of 20 developers who shipped a Magic Hex Grid game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×6.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×460 the market median. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 47 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $12,952) |
| Top 5% | $219k (exactly $218,627) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 68 |
| Announced | 47 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Hex Grid; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Base Building, Turn-Based Combat
- Price point
- $10.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 601 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Hex Grid with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Strategy RPGPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + Card BattlerPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + RoguelikePoor odds
Comparable games
Brigandine The Legend of Runersia 2022 · $1.6M 
Eador. Masters of the Broken World 2013 · $996k 
Warlock - Master of the Arcane 2012 · $752k 
Warlock 2: The Exiled 2014 · $601k 
Chaos Reborn 2015 · $245k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Brigandine The Legend of Runersia | older | $39.99 | 1,331 85% | 40k | $1.6M (exactly $1,596,801) | Happinet, Matrix |
| | Eador. Masters of the Broken World | older | $19.99 | 1,660 67% | 50k | $996k (exactly $995,502) | Snowbird Games |
| | Warlock - Master of the Arcane | older | $24.99 | 1,003 86% | 30k | $752k (exactly $751,949) | Ino-Co Plus |
| | Warlock 2: The Exiled | older | $19.99 | 1,002 69% | 30k | $601k (exactly $600,899) | Ino-Co Plus |
| | Chaos Reborn | older | $9.99 | 819 74% | 25k | $245k (exactly $245,454) | Snapshot Games Inc. |
 | 军团战棋Legion War | older | $9.99 | 741 89% | 22k | $222k (exactly $222,078) | Bear & Cat Studio |
 | Hexguardian | older | $11.99 | 617 78% | 19k | $222k (exactly $221,935) | Split Second Games |
 | MoteMancer | · EA | $29.99 | 243 91% | 7.3k | $219k (exactly $218,627) | CyanAvatar Studios |
 | Braveland Wizard | older | $14.99 | 431 80% | 13k | $194k (exactly $193,821) | Tortuga Team |
 | Age of Wonders Shadow Magic | older | $9.99 | 543 90% | 16k | $163k (exactly $162,737) | Triumph Studios |
 | Fight Life: Vanguard | $11.99 | 164 69% | 4.9k | $59k (exactly $58,991) | StartImpulse, Two Cakes Studio | |
 | Demiurges | $14.99 | 36 88% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $16,189) | Berih | |
 | Glassbreakers: Champions of Moss | $19.99 | 22 63% | 660 | $13k (exactly $13,193) | Polyarc | |
 | Fortune Fragments | $15.99 | 27 96% | 810 | $13k (exactly $12,952) | Runoi Games | |
 | Wizard Warfare 2: Cephalopod Wars | $10.99 | 38 86% | 1.1k | $13k (exactly $12,529) | Psyanotek Limited | |
 | Sigilfarer: A Dice-Rolling Roguelite | $11.99 | 33 72% | 990 | $12k (exactly $11,870) | Viabo Games | |
 | Master of Luna | · EA | $14.99 | 22 95% | 660 | $9.9k (exactly $9,893) | Aleksandr Tiupin |
 | Thule | $18.99 | 6 50% | 180 | $3.4k (exactly $3,418) | Xeaker | |
 | Path of Gear: Blacksmith's Legend | · EA | $9.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | HaNWA Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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