Do I ship it?

Games › Hex Grid › Hex Grid + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Hex Grid game?

Hex Grid + Logic

Of 42 developers who shipped a Logic Hex Grid game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 26 developers shipped in the last year and 40 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 440% on the market, 40 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hex Grid + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 42
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $1.2k → $300 → $449 → $179 → $898 → $748 (still earning) → $2.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hex Grid + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 42
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $360 (exactly $360)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $26,618)
Developers, 2 yr 42
Released games 121
Announced 40
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 440% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hex Grid
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Hex Grid, Logic; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Colorful, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,152 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hex Grid with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Local MultiplayerFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Open WorldPoor odds12 devs · median $24k · 20 announced
  3. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds7 devs · median $19k · 18 announced
  4. + Turn-BasedPoor odds22 devs · median $13k · 35 announced
  5. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $12k · 40 announced
  6. + ExplorationPoor odds35 devs · median $12k · 55 announced
  7. + RPGPoor odds39 devs · median $10k · 96 announced
  8. + Strategy RPGPoor odds26 devs · median $10k · 60 announced
  9. + 4XPoor odds26 devs · median $9.9k · 60 announced
  10. + Card BattlerPoor odds12 devs · median $8.2k · 29 announced
  11. + RoguelitePoor odds42 devs · median $7.9k · 101 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds37 devs · median $7.8k · 102 announced

All 69 pairs on the Hex Grid page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Opus Magnum 2017 · $3.6M TerraScape 2024 · $930k Hexcells Infinite 2014 · $618k Hexcells 2014 · $456k Kaizen: A Factory Story 2025 · $416k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Opus Magnum older $19.99 5,964 97% 179k $3.6M (exactly $3,576,611) Zachtronics
TerraScape older $14.99 2,068 88% 62k $930k (exactly $929,980) Bitfall Studios
Hexcells Infinite older $4.99 4,130 96% 124k $618k (exactly $618,261) Matthew Brown
Hexcells older $2.99 5,087 96% 153k $456k (exactly $456,304) Matthew Brown
Kaizen: A Factory Story $19.99 694 91% 21k $416k (exactly $416,192) Coincidence
Hexcells Plus older $2.99 2,271 95% 68k $204k (exactly $203,709) Matthew Brown
Hexologic older $4.99 684 96% 21k $102k (exactly $102,395) MythicOwl
CIPHER ZERO $14.99 165 89% 5.0k $74k (exactly $74,200) Zapdot
Hive older $9.99 244 83% 7.3k $73k (exactly $73,127) BlueLine Games
Evergarden older $9.99 120 87% 3.6k $36k (exactly $35,964) Flippfly LLC
Mistward $11.99 74 59% 2.2k $27k (exactly $26,618) Sokpop Collective
ShoreTiles $6.99 90 74% 2.7k $19k (exactly $18,873) Voxel Studios
Stoplights $8.99 39 89% 1.2k $11k (exactly $10,518) Wicked Blobfish
Shroomtopia $9.99 18 94% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) GXN Games
Hex Harmony · EA $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Pixel Builder Studio
Alien Cartographer $4.99 27 92% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) FachchefGames
Sente $7.99 11 100% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Oxobox Games Studios
HEXA-WORLD-3D $2.99 20 90% 600 $1.8k (exactly $1,794) Hell games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.