Games › Top-Down Shooter › Top-Down Shooter + Heist
Should I ship a Heist Top-Down Shooter?
Top-Down Shooter + Heist
Only 8 developers shipped a Heist Top-Down Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Precinct, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $480 against a market of $630. 13 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $479 (exactly $479) |
| Top 25% | $268k (exactly $268,021) |
| Top 5% | $7.1M (exactly $7,050,949) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Top-Down Shooter
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Heist
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Top-Down Shooter
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 11,348 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Top-Down Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + VampiresFair
- + Turn-Based StrategyFair
- + World War IIFair
- + IdlerFair
- + ArcheryFair
- + LovecraftianPoor odds
- + Tactical RPGPoor odds
- + Action RTSPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + DystopianPoor odds
Comparable games
The Precinct 2025 · $7.1M 
Turnip Boy Robs a Bank 2024 · $850k 
Mr. Shifty 2017 · $384k 
Jackal 2026 · $268k 
UNDETECTED 2022 · $28k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Precinct | $29.99 | 7,837 87% | 235k | $7.1M (exactly $7,050,949) | Fallen Tree Games Ltd | |
| | Turnip Boy Robs a Bank | older | $14.99 | 1,890 95% | 57k | $850k (exactly $849,933) | Snoozy Kazoo |
| | Mr. Shifty | older | $14.99 | 855 88% | 26k | $384k (exactly $384,494) | Team Shifty |
| | Jackal | $14.99 | 596 88% | 18k | $268k (exactly $268,021) | Transhuman Design | |
| | UNDETECTED | older | $14.99 | 63 71% | 1.9k | $28k (exactly $28,331) | Antonio Freyre |
 | Kitchen Wars | $4.99 | 45 80% | 1.4k | $6.7k (exactly $6,736) | Silent Owl | |
 | MAFIA: Family's Secret | older | $6.99 | 32 75% | 960 | $6.7k (exactly $6,710) | Tails Games |
 | I'm a cowboy: Western Shooter | older | $12.99 | 7 42% | 210 | $2.7k (exactly $2,728) | Advance Studio Games |
 | Delphyq | · EA older | $14.99 | 6 16% | 180 | $2.7k (exactly $2,698) | Dusk Wave Arts LLC |
 | A-Star Theft | older | $4.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) | Kehler Creations |
 | Wild Willy West | $3.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $479 (exactly $479) | Team Sloop | |
 | SpyGuys | $2.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | Olly | |
 | The Ballad of a True Thug | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Aces | |
 | Heistfest | · EA | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Amilcar Technologies |
 | Survivors 27 | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Studio 27 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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