Games › Swordplay › Swordplay + Gothic
Should I ship a Gothic Swordplay game?
Swordplay + Gothic
Only 9 developers shipped a Gothic Swordplay game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Grimlord, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.4k against a market of $630. 19 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $267 (exactly $267) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.4k (exactly $1,440) |
| Top 25% | $25k (exactly $24,689) |
| Top 5% | $834k (exactly $834,022) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.00 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 16495% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Swordplay
- Price point
- $8.00 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 31,533 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Swordplay with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Shoot 'Em UpLong shot
- + SamuraiPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + FightingPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
ASTLIBRA Revision 2022 · $23M 
Grimlord 2024 · $834k 
Winter Ember 2022 · $74k 
Beholgar 2 2025 · $28k 
The Story Page 2026 · EA · $25k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ASTLIBRA Revision | older | $24.99 | 30,262 95% | 908k | $23M (exactly $22,687,421) | KEIZO |
| | Grimlord | $29.99 | 927 78% | 28k | $834k (exactly $834,022) | Metalcat Interactive Co.,Ltd | |
| | Winter Ember | older | $29.99 | 82 58% | 2.5k | $74k (exactly $73,775) | Sky Machine Studios |
| | Beholgar 2 | $11.99 | 77 80% | 2.3k | $28k (exactly $27,697) | Serkan Bakar | |
| | The Story Page | · EA | $7.99 | 103 78% | 3.1k | $25k (exactly $24,689) | SPR-Games |
 | Azuran Tales: Trials | older | $12.99 | 22 63% | 660 | $8.6k (exactly $8,573) | Tiny Trinket Games |
 | Guild of Darksteel | older | $12.99 | 19 89% | 570 | $7.4k (exactly $7,404) | Igor Sandman |
 | Dispel | · EA older | $4.99 | 22 72% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | LegionSword |
 | Silver Cats | older | $17.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $3.2k (exactly $3,238) | Silver Cats |
 | Skull's Impossible Quest | older | $7.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $3.1k (exactly $3,116) | Chris Lucian |
 | Slay The Berserker | · EA | $9.99 | 10 50% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Advance Garde |
 | GAYA - The Mystery | $8.00 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.4k (exactly $1,440) | Dunamis | |
 | Dalafri | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Y.Kageyama | |
 | Run Eternal Depths | $0.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $267 (exactly $267) | Artyom Gudkov | |
 | Monochrome Nemesis | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | BidouGameStudio | |
 | Citadale - The Accursed Seal | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | ERMedia |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.