Do I ship it?

GamesSportsSports + Golf

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Golf Sports game?

Sports + Golf

Of 67 developers who shipped a Golf Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 82 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×510 the market median. Revenue is up 90% on the market; 82 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 90% on the market, 82 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Golf
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 67
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $23k → $3.6k → $2.4k → $1.9k → $899 → $718 → $1.2k (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Golf: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 67
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 5% $320k (exactly $320,122)
Developers, 2 yr 67
Released games 219
Announced 82
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 90% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Golf
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports, Golf; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Physics, Simulation, PvP
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 15,153 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $900, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 32 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 82 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Golf With Your Friends older $14.99 50,748 88% 1.5M $23M (exactly $22,821,376) Blacklight Interactive, Team17
Golf It! older $8.99 24,695 90% 741k $6.7M (exactly $6,660,242) Perfuse Entertainment
PGA TOUR 2K25 $39.99 3,791 70% 114k $4.5M (exactly $4,548,063) HB Studios
EA SPORTS™ PGA TOUR™ older $69.99 2,156 56% 65k $4.5M (exactly $4,526,953) Electronic Arts - Tiburon
Super Battle Golf $12.99 9,325 93% 280k $3.6M (exactly $3,633,952) Brimstone
Walkabout Mini Golf VR older $24.99 3,094 97% 93k $2.3M (exactly $2,319,572) Mighty Coconut
EVERYBODY'S GOLF HOT SHOTS $39.99 1,048 60% 31k $1.3M (exactly $1,257,286) HYDE, Inc.
Perfect Golf older $34.99 876 65% 26k $920k (exactly $919,537) PERFECT PARALLEL
All-In-One Sports VR older $19.99 700 84% 21k $420k (exactly $419,790) Appnori Inc.
Cursed to Golf older $19.99 693 70% 21k $416k (exactly $415,592) Chuhai Labs
Disc Golf Masters · EA $24.99 427 83% 13k $320k (exactly $320,122) Spinoff Games
Under Par Golf Architect $19.99 158 81% 4.7k $95k (exactly $94,753) Broken Arms Games
Puttler $7.99 244 95% 7.3k $58k (exactly $58,487) Bean Juice Studios
Looney Tunes: Wacky World of Sports $49.99 34 79% 1.0k $51k (exactly $50,990) Bamtang Games
Golden Tee Arcade Classics $29.99 45 86% 1.4k $40k (exactly $40,486) Digital Eclipse
Up to Par $19.99 49 73% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) It's Anecdotal
True Disc Golf $24.99 32 90% 960 $24k (exactly $23,990) Sportsmanlike Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.