Games › Gambling › Gambling + Visual Novel
Should I ship a Gambling Visual Novel?
Gambling + Visual Novel
Only 16 developers shipped a Gambling Visual Novel in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Space Warlord Baby Trading Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.7k, ×48 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Revenue is up 2980% on the market; 12 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.7k (exactly $5,662) |
| Top 25% | $22k (exactly $22,438) |
| Top 5% | $308k (exactly $307,646) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 55 |
| Announced | 12 |
| Effort | 2 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2980% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Gambling
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
What it takes
- Effort
- 2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
- Systems
- Gambling, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,063 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 5 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Gambling with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerFair
- + Online Co-OpFair
- + Co-opFair
- + FPSFair
- + Life SimFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Multiple EndingsFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + MysteryFair
- + Card BattlerFair
Comparable games
STONKS-9800: Stock Market Simulator 2023 · EA · $936k 
Space Warlord Baby Trading Simulator 2026 · $308k 
Menherarium: Deadly Dice 2026 · $180k 
All in Abyss: Judge the Fake 2025 · $180k 
Sunshine Shuffle 2023 · $47k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | STONKS-9800: Stock Market Simulator | · EA older | $9.99 | 3,124 95% | 94k | $936k (exactly $936,263) | TERNOX |
| | Space Warlord Baby Trading Simulator | $19.99 | 513 91% | 15k | $308k (exactly $307,646) | Strange Scaffold | |
| | Menherarium: Deadly Dice | $8.99 | 669 92% | 20k | $180k (exactly $180,429) | テスカトリポカ | |
| | All in Abyss: Judge the Fake | $15.99 | 375 54% | 11k | $180k (exactly $179,888) | ACQUIRE Corp., WSS playground | |
| | Sunshine Shuffle | older | $9.99 | 156 76% | 4.7k | $47k (exactly $46,753) | Strange Scaffold |
 | Sinsations | older | $24.99 | 43 93% | 1.3k | $32k (exactly $32,237) | Frigid Delights Studios LLC |
 | Deadly Heart Gambit | $6.99 | 107 90% | 3.2k | $22k (exactly $22,438) | Blink Hydrate ブリンク | |
 | Lust Poker Club | $7.99 | 89 78% | 2.7k | $21k (exactly $21,333) | Cutie Booty | |
 | Milf City | older | $1.99 | 320 85% | 9.6k | $19k (exactly $19,104) | Milk Poison |
 | 令和罕见物语 | older | $4.99 | 118 84% | 3.5k | $18k (exactly $17,665) | 哥布林软件 |
 | Lustful BlackJack: My Succubus Dealer | $6.99 | 49 61% | 1.5k | $10k (exactly $10,275) | 78Games, Matariki Studios Co., Ltd | |
 | Pikabuu: STOP! | $0.99 | 219 95% | 6.6k | $6.5k (exactly $6,504) | JoyKeratif | |
 | Isekai Mage Girl Gacha Pull Simulator: Elemental Card Collection | $6.99 | 27 74% | 810 | $5.7k (exactly $5,662) | Violet Soft | |
 | Soul Stake | $3.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $1.3k (exactly $1,317) | Tap-Tap Legends | |
 | 100% Plasma Vitae | $4.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Plasma Team |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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