Should I ship a Gambling FPS?
FPS + Gambling
Of 24 developers who shipped a Gambling FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.1k, ×2.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $480. Revenue is up 350% on the market; 22 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $475 (exactly $475) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.1k (exactly $4,133) |
| Top 25% | $16k (exactly $16,160) |
| Top 5% | $225k (exactly $225,175) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 40 |
| Announced | 22 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- FPS, Gambling; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Tabletop, PvP
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.77 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Dark
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $7.77 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 5,421 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + FaithFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + RunnerLong shot
- + Action RTSLong shot
- + Bullet HellLong shot
- + DogsLong shot
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
Comparable games
Buckshot Roulette 2024 · $9.9M 
Drug Lord Tycoon 2024 · EA · $501k 
Nine-Ball Roulette 2025 · $258k 
Casino Simulator 2024 · EA · $236k 
KEEP GAMBLING 2025 · $225k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Buckshot Roulette | older | $2.99 | 110,042 95% | 3.3M | $9.9M (exactly $9,870,767) | Mike Klubnika |
| | Drug Lord Tycoon | · EA older | $9.99 | 1,671 83% | 50k | $501k (exactly $500,799) | Duhndal |
| | Nine-Ball Roulette | $3.99 | 2,159 88% | 65k | $258k (exactly $258,432) | WaveBox Labs | |
| | Casino Simulator | · EA older | $9.99 | 786 81% | 24k | $236k (exactly $235,564) | Lodos Games |
| | KEEP GAMBLING | $7.77 | 966 74% | 29k | $225k (exactly $225,175) | WIRED FEELINGS | |
 | Bogos Binted? | $5.49 | 1,134 91% | 34k | $187k (exactly $186,770) | underbadger | |
 | Midnight Mahjong | older | $6.99 | 227 64% | 6.8k | $48k (exactly $47,602) | AleCubicSoft |
 | Casino Island Simulator | · EA | $8.99 | 120 61% | 3.6k | $32k (exactly $32,364) | Clap Games |
 | Prop Hunt 2.0 | older | $12.99 | 53 30% | 1.6k | $21k (exactly $20,654) | HorseGames |
 | 令和罕见物语 | older | $4.99 | 118 84% | 3.5k | $18k (exactly $17,665) | 哥布林软件 |
 | ENCOUNTER BAR | $0.99 | 590 78% | 18k | $18k (exactly $17,523) | 2R | |
 | Your Second Wife | $3.99 | 135 84% | 4.1k | $16k (exactly $16,160) | Kygua Tech | |
 | LUCKROT | $4.99 | 104 91% | 3.1k | $16k (exactly $15,569) | OptiCube | |
 | Only False | · EA | $5.99 | 82 92% | 2.5k | $15k (exactly $14,735) | Metavision Studio |
 | Treasure Tiger | $4.99 | 86 95% | 2.6k | $13k (exactly $12,874) | Lucky Dart | |
 | DOLLMAKER | $8.99 | 45 97% | 1.4k | $12k (exactly $12,136) | STH |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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