Games › Gambling › Gambling + Mystery
Should I ship a Mystery Gambling game?
Gambling + Mystery
Of 23 developers who shipped a Mystery Gambling game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is up 1410% on the market; 26 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) |
| Top 25% | $6.3k (exactly $6,287) |
| Top 5% | $383k (exactly $382,609) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 23 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 26 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1410% on the market, supply 130% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Gambling; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Strategy, Board Game
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 6,339 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Gambling with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Online Co-OpFair
- + Co-opFair
- + FPSFair
- + Life SimFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Multiple EndingsFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Card BattlerFair
Comparable games
Judgment 2022 · $11M 
Sol Cesto 2026 · $2.0M 
Card Shark 2022 · $1.8M 
Caribbean Legend: Age of Pirates 2026 · $383k 
All in Abyss: Judge the Fake 2025 · $180k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Judgment | older | $39.99 | 9,407 93% | 282k | $11M (exactly $11,285,578) | RGG Studio |
| | Sol Cesto | $13.99 | 4,838 91% | 145k | $2.0M (exactly $2,030,509) | Tambouille, Géraud Zucchini, Chariospir… (Tambouille, Géraud Zucchini, Chariospirale) | |
| | Card Shark | older | $19.99 | 2,965 90% | 89k | $1.8M (exactly $1,778,110) | Nerial |
| | Caribbean Legend: Age of Pirates | $19.99 | 638 70% | 19k | $383k (exactly $382,609) | ReCon Team | |
| | All in Abyss: Judge the Fake | $15.99 | 375 54% | 11k | $180k (exactly $179,888) | ACQUIRE Corp., WSS playground | |
 | Sunshine Shuffle | older | $9.99 | 156 76% | 4.7k | $47k (exactly $46,753) | Strange Scaffold |
 | Unlucky Mummy | $4.49 | 281 84% | 8.4k | $38k (exactly $37,851) | Karaclan | |
 | Dance of Cards | older | $9.99 | 93 88% | 2.8k | $28k (exactly $27,872) | GoodMorningMrFrog |
 | Anomaly Mahjong | $4.99 | 94 65% | 2.8k | $14k (exactly $14,072) | YUTAMARO WORLD | |
 | Ba Bị | $4.99 | 42 100% | 1.3k | $6.3k (exactly $6,287) | BaBị Electric | |
 | Butter Side Down | $6.00 | 24 100% | 720 | $4.3k (exactly $4,320) | Kalle MacDonald, Lachlan MacDonald | |
 | Desperate Gambling | · EA | $10.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $4.3k (exactly $4,286) | Gaetha |
 | Scary Shadow Spot - All In | $7.99 | 16 93% | 480 | $3.8k (exactly $3,835) | Daniele Doesn't Matter | |
 | Roulette Heist | $6.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $3.8k (exactly $3,775) | DreamArk Lab |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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