Games › Gambling › Gambling + Psychological
Should I ship a Psychological Gambling game?
Gambling + Psychological
Of 27 developers who shipped a Psychological Gambling game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×4.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×380 the market median. Revenue is up 1315% on the market; 38 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $718 (exactly $718) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.1k (exactly $2,063) |
| Top 25% | $22k (exactly $22,438) |
| Top 5% | $180k (exactly $180,429) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 27 |
| Released games | 40 |
| Announced | 38 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1315% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Gambling
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
- Psychological
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Gambling; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Tactics, PvP
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Dark
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 27,174 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $720. 6 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Gambling with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Online Co-OpFair
- + Co-opFair
- + FPSFair
- + Life SimFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Multiple EndingsFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + MysteryFair
Comparable games
Buckshot Roulette 2024 · $9.9M 
CloverPit 2025 · $7.4M 
Menherarium: Deadly Dice 2026 · $180k 
SIDE EFFECTS 2025 · $128k 
Cut That Wire 2025 · $51k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Buckshot Roulette | older | $2.99 | 110,042 95% | 3.3M | $9.9M (exactly $9,870,767) | Mike Klubnika |
| | CloverPit | $9.99 | 24,710 90% | 741k | $7.4M (exactly $7,405,587) | Panik Arcade | |
| | Menherarium: Deadly Dice | $8.99 | 669 92% | 20k | $180k (exactly $180,429) | テスカトリポカ | |
| | SIDE EFFECTS | $4.99 | 858 83% | 26k | $128k (exactly $128,443) | hirohun, Mr.Pootsley, Jaybooty, Lofar42 | |
| | Cut That Wire | $6.99 | 243 84% | 7.3k | $51k (exactly $50,957) | WakaStudio | |
 | Bonesaw | $6.66 | 179 89% | 5.4k | $36k (exactly $35,764) | Blood Pact Studios | |
 | Dice Tavern: Farkle Roguelike | $9.99 | 112 90% | 3.4k | $34k (exactly $33,566) | Cavi Studio | |
 | FINAL SPIN | older | $4.99 | 195 91% | 5.9k | $29k (exactly $29,192) | bati, loardjosef |
 | Deadly Heart Gambit | $6.99 | 107 90% | 3.2k | $22k (exactly $22,438) | Blink Hydrate ブリンク | |
 | Lust Poker Club | $7.99 | 89 78% | 2.7k | $21k (exactly $21,333) | Cutie Booty | |
 | ARSONATE | $2.99 | 158 87% | 4.7k | $14k (exactly $14,173) | Nash | |
 | Dystopian Pet Simulator | · EA | $5.99 | 49 93% | 1.5k | $8.8k (exactly $8,805) | dinca.team |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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