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Should I ship a Gambling Logic game?
Gambling + Logic
Of 29 developers who shipped a Gambling Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 20 developers shipped in the last year and 27 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $478 (exactly $478) |
| Top 25% | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
| Top 5% | $55k (exactly $54,845) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 29 |
| Released games | 51 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 2 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
- Systems
- Gambling, Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelike, Roguelite
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.00 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Retro
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $10.00 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 1,038 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Gambling with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Online Co-OpFair
- + Co-opFair
- + FPSFair
- + Life SimFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Multiple EndingsFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + MysteryFair
Comparable games
Judgment 2022 · $11M 
Lost Judgment 2022 · $9.0M 
Ultimate Theater Simulator 2025 · $247k 
LOLLIPOP! 2021 · $197k 
Scratch the Ticket 2026 · $55k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Judgment | older | $39.99 | 9,407 93% | 282k | $11M (exactly $11,285,578) | RGG Studio |
| | Lost Judgment | older | $39.99 | 7,461 93% | 224k | $9.0M (exactly $8,950,962) | RGG Studio |
| | Ultimate Theater Simulator | $12.99 | 634 88% | 19k | $247k (exactly $247,070) | RAKTWO Games, steelbox Games | |
| | LOLLIPOP! | older | $4.99 | 1,318 75% | 40k | $197k (exactly $197,305) | 430Games, __Ja__ga__imo__ |
| | Scratch the Ticket | $9.99 | 183 44% | 5.5k | $55k (exactly $54,845) | Shilenok | |
 | Dice Tavern: Farkle Roguelike | $9.99 | 112 90% | 3.4k | $34k (exactly $33,566) | Cavi Studio | |
 | The Divine Deception | older | $14.99 | 38 86% | 1.1k | $17k (exactly $17,089) | Themisian |
 | CUBE ROYALE | · EA older | $9.99 | 47 93% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $14,086) | Creature Factory |
 | Office Love Affair | older | $1.99 | 108 62% | 3.2k | $6.4k (exactly $6,448) | Milk Poison |
 | Azazel Gamble 阿撒兹勒赌局 | $9.99 | 21 90% | 630 | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) | 7 Funny | |
 | Ba Bị | $4.99 | 42 100% | 1.3k | $6.3k (exactly $6,287) | BaBị Electric | |
 | Soul Taker | $10.00 | 15 93% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,500) | SlovGoblin | |
 | Fortune Paradox | $4.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | StoneBreaker Studios | |
 | SuDoki-Doki: A Hentai Sudoku Game! | $4.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Bedside Lotion Games | |
 | 6 Ways To 7 | $4.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Axelstems | |
 | Blackjack Trainer | $7.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $959 (exactly $959) | Avantage Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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