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Should I ship a Futuristic Trading Card Game?
Trading Card Game + Futuristic
Only 9 developers shipped a paid Futuristic Trading Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Curtain Call: Chronicles of Heroes, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 27 more are announced, ×6.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $0 against a market of $630. 27 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $0 (exactly $0) |
| Top 25% | $539 (exactly $539) |
| Top 5% | $6.1k (exactly $6,110) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 45%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Trading Card Game
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Futuristic
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Trading Card Game
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 879 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Trading Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + SandboxFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Procedural GenerationPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Auto BattlerPoor odds
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
Comparable games
Variables 2 2021 · $188k 
System Crash 2016 · $112k 
CyberTD 2023 · $30k 
Cartridge Defense 2022 · $29k 
CITY WARS: TOKYO REIGN 2022 · $9.0k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Variables 2 | older | $14.99 | 418 90% | 13k | $188k (exactly $187,975) | Asteroid Game Studio |
| | System Crash | older | $14.99 | 250 83% | 7.5k | $112k (exactly $112,425) | Rogue Moon Studios |
| | CyberTD | older | $19.99 | 50 66% | 1.5k | $30k (exactly $29,985) | Clockwork Origins |
| | Cartridge Defense | older | $11.99 | 80 91% | 2.4k | $29k (exactly $28,776) | Out Gaming |
| | CITY WARS: TOKYO REIGN | older | $12.99 | 23 60% | 690 | $9.0k (exactly $8,963) | Mojo Bones Ltd |
 | Curtain Call: Chronicles of Heroes | $5.99 | 34 67% | 1.0k | $6.1k (exactly $6,110) | Life Trust Foundation | |
 | Becoming Captain - The Roguelike Deckbuilder | $10.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $2.3k (exactly $2,308) | Le Havre Création | |
 | Call of the Abyss | older | $4.99 | 14 71% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | 2ev1l |
 | Loopweavers: Dimensional Alliances | $8.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $539 (exactly $539) | Alejandro Rodríguez Fernández | |
 | Enter The Cyberjungle | · EA older | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Doppelchanger |
 | Apocalypse: The Hunger | $1.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $119 (exactly $119) | Bit Boy Games | |
 | Table Party | $24.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | DIVEXR CO.,LTD | |
 | The Black Signal | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | ERMedia | |
 | Eternal Rifts | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Montece Gaming | |
 | Space Corps® | · EA | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Space Corps Command, LLC |
 | Scroll of Cards: Draft and Ascend | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Nothing Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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