Games › Swordplay › Swordplay + Futuristic
Should I ship a Futuristic Swordplay game?
Swordplay + Futuristic
Only 16 developers shipped a Futuristic Swordplay game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Morbid Metal, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $830k, ×1336 the market median. Revenue is up 140% on the market; 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $180 (exactly $180) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $13,486) |
| Top 5% | $839k (exactly $839,233) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 63 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Swordplay
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Futuristic
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Swordplay; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Hack and Slash, Action Roguelike
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 2,794 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Swordplay with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Shoot 'Em UpLong shot
- + SamuraiPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + FightingPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
Ghostrunner 2020 · $42M 
Beat Saber 2019 · $42M 
ASTLIBRA Revision 2022 · $23M 
Bright Memory: Infinite 2021 · $22M 
Clone Drone in the Danger Zone 2021 · $22M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Ghostrunner | older | $29.99 | 46,818 91% | 1.4M | $42M (exactly $42,122,155) | One More Level, 3D Realms, Slipgate Iro… (One More Level, 3D Realms, Slipgate Ironworks™, All in! Games) |
| | Beat Saber | older | $19.99 | 69,750 95% | 2.1M | $42M (exactly $41,829,075) | Beat Games |
| | ASTLIBRA Revision | older | $24.99 | 30,262 95% | 908k | $23M (exactly $22,687,421) | KEIZO |
| | Bright Memory: Infinite | older | $19.99 | 36,229 91% | 1.1M | $22M (exactly $21,726,531) | FYQD-Studio |
| | Clone Drone in the Danger Zone | older | $19.99 | 36,084 96% | 1.1M | $22M (exactly $21,639,575) | Doborog Games |
 | SpiderHeck | older | $14.99 | 3,922 93% | 118k | $1.8M (exactly $1,763,723) | Neverjam |
 | Morbid Metal | · EA | $17.99 | 1,555 81% | 47k | $839k (exactly $839,233) | SCREEN JUICE |
 | SWORD ART ONLINE Last Recollection | older | $59.99 | 450 58% | 14k | $810k (exactly $809,865) | AQURIA Co., Ltd. |
 | Clone Drone in the Hyperdome | $19.99 | 1,048 91% | 31k | $628k (exactly $628,486) | Doborog Games | |
 | Swords of Gurrah | · EA older | $14.99 | 622 78% | 19k | $280k (exactly $279,713) | Devster, LLC |
 | Lia: Hacking Destiny | $14.99 | 92 96% | 2.8k | $41k (exactly $41,372) | Orube Game Studio | |
 | Disco Samurai | $9.99 | 45 88% | 1.4k | $13k (exactly $13,486) | Pixel Fiber Games | |
 | Reavers of New Rome | $14.99 | 25 96% | 750 | $11k (exactly $11,242) | Renegade Sector Games | |
 | Sportvida CyberDash | $19.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $4.2k (exactly $4,198) | ible Sportvida | |
 | Unpatterned Cut | $9.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | Vnow Games | |
 | DAMex : DArk Matter Exodus | $4.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Benoit Locu | |
 | Dalafri | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Y.Kageyama | |
 | Odania Sports Arena | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Odania GmbH |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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