Games › Sports › Sports + Futuristic
Should I ship a Futuristic Sports game?
Sports + Futuristic
Of 64 developers who shipped a Futuristic Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 92 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×440 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 92 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $59 (exactly $59) |
|---|---|
| Median | $450 (exactly $450) |
| Top 25% | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) |
| Top 5% | $276k (exactly $276,208) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 64 |
| Released games | 248 |
| Announced | 92 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sports
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Futuristic
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Racing, Arcade
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 69% positive over 44,471 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 41 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 92 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Beat Saber | older | $19.99 | 69,750 95% | 2.1M | $42M (exactly $41,829,075) | Beat Games |
| | REMATCH | $29.99 | 39,905 70% | 1.2M | $36M (exactly $35,902,528) | Sloclap | |
| | MindsEye | $34.99 | 2,855 48% | 86k | $3.0M (exactly $2,996,894) | Build A Rocket Boy | |
| | Trials Fusion™ | older | $19.99 | 2,285 66% | 69k | $1.4M (exactly $1,370,314) | RedLynx, in collaboration with Ubisoft… (RedLynx, in collaboration with Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Kiev) |
| | STRIDE | older | $19.99 | 1,975 79% | 59k | $1.2M (exactly $1,184,408) | Joy Way |
| | Aokana - Four Rhythms Across the Blue - EXTRA2 | older | $24.99 | 1,400 99% | 42k | $1.0M (exactly $1,049,580) | sprite, NekoNyan Ltd. |
| | Pacer | older | $39.99 | 576 72% | 17k | $691k (exactly $691,027) | R8 Games Ltd |
| | DeathSprint 66 | older | $19.99 | 495 83% | 15k | $297k (exactly $296,852) | Sumo Digital |
| | Synthwave Burnout | $12.99 | 751 74% | 23k | $293k (exactly $292,665) | Whale Rock Games | |
| | VRacer Hoverbike | $29.99 | 307 89% | 9.2k | $276k (exactly $276,208) | VertexBreakers | |
| | BREAK ARTS III | $17.99 | 334 80% | 10k | $180k (exactly $180,260) | MercuryStudio | |
| | Infinity: HexaDome Tactics | $19.99 | 92 75% | 2.8k | $55k (exactly $55,172) | Blindspot Games | |
| | FUTA FIGHT & FUCK 🥊 | $14.99 | 115 92% | 3.5k | $52k (exactly $51,716) | BanzaiProject | |
| | Dance Eden | $19.99 | 42 85% | 1.3k | $25k (exactly $25,187) | DigiEden | |
| | Moto Rush Reborn | $12.99 | 43 97% | 1.3k | $17k (exactly $16,757) | Baltoro Games | |
| | Project Hover | · EA | $9.99 | 27 88% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | Ulysses Graphics |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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