Do I ship it?

GamesSportsSports + Fishing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fishing Sports game?

Sports + Fishing

Of 23 developers who shipped a Fishing Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×1983 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 39 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 39 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Fishing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $115k → $5.4k → $2.4k → $719 → $1.8k (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Fishing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 25% $91k (exactly $91,289)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,245,577)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 81
Announced 39
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports, Fishing; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Co-op, Adventure
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, Relaxing, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 12,040 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $91k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 5 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Call of the Wild: The Angler™ older $29.99 6,122 63% 184k $5.5M (exactly $5,507,963) Expansive Worlds
Ultimate Fishing Simulator® older $19.99 8,256 89% 248k $5.0M (exactly $4,951,123) Ultimate Games S.A., Bit Golem
Cast n Chill $14.99 8,383 94% 251k $3.8M (exactly $3,769,835) Wombat Brawler
Ultimate Fishing® Simulator 2 $19.99 2,077 66% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,245,577) Silent Bear Studio, SHINING GAMES
The Fisherman - Fishing Planet older $29.99 975 62% 29k $877k (exactly $877,208) Fishing Planet LLC
Euro Fishing older $14.99 1,496 64% 45k $673k (exactly $672,751) Dovetail Games
Fishing Sim World®: Pro Tour older $19.99 945 80% 28k $567k (exactly $566,716) Dovetail Games
Ice Lakes older $14.99 1,124 86% 34k $505k (exactly $505,463) Iceflake Studios
Professional Fishing 2 · EA $24.99 436 77% 13k $327k (exactly $326,869) MasterCode
Fishing Adventure older $4.99 1,479 85% 44k $221k (exactly $221,406) MasterCode
Lake of Creatures $12.49 354 92% 11k $133k (exactly $132,644) ANTENNA GAMES
Real VR Fishing $19.99 184 73% 5.5k $110k (exactly $110,345) Devs United Games, Inc
我的钓鱼世界 · EA $14.99 203 60% 6.1k $91k (exactly $91,289) 华幸
Desktop Fishing $3.49 333 91% 10k $35k (exactly $34,865) Ostend Games
Fishing Party VR $17.99 20 90% 600 $11k (exactly $10,794) Hurka Games
A Game About Penguins $9.99 36 100% 1.1k $11k (exactly $10,789) CO's Entertainment
Fly Caster - VR Fly Fishing $14.99 14 85% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Electronic Imagination

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.