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Should I ship a Fantasy Sports game?
Sports + Fantasy
Of 55 developers who shipped a Fantasy Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 72 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $52k, ×84 the market median. Revenue is up 855% on the market; 72 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 25% | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) |
| Top 5% | $52k (exactly $52,462) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 55 |
| Released games | 200 |
| Announced | 72 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 855% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Combat
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, 2D, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,929 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 72 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DJMAX RESPECT V | older | $49.99 | 29,808 88% | 894k | $45M (exactly $44,703,058) | NEOWIZ |
| | Blood Bowl 2: Legendary Edition (Classic) | older | $29.99 | 7,077 78% | 212k | $6.4M (exactly $6,367,177) | Cyanide Studios |
| | Blood Bowl 3 | older | $29.99 | 3,940 51% | 118k | $3.5M (exactly $3,544,818) | Cyanide Studio |
| | Jusant | older | $24.99 | 4,123 93% | 124k | $3.1M (exactly $3,091,013) | DON'T NOD |
| | Harry Potter: Quidditch Champions | older | $29.99 | 2,790 73% | 84k | $2.5M (exactly $2,510,163) | Unbroken Studios |
| | RUMBLE | · EA older | $24.99 | 3,158 87% | 95k | $2.4M (exactly $2,367,553) | Buckethead Entertainment |
| | Walkabout Mini Golf VR | older | $24.99 | 3,094 97% | 93k | $2.3M (exactly $2,319,572) | Mighty Coconut |
| | Blood Bowl: Chaos Edition (Classic) | older | $14.99 | 1,386 79% | 42k | $623k (exactly $623,284) | Cyanide Studios |
| | Sprint Vector | older | $29.99 | 576 83% | 17k | $518k (exactly $518,227) | Survios |
| | Wheel World | $19.99 | 735 90% | 22k | $441k (exactly $440,779) | Messhof | |
| | KALPA: Cosmic Symphony | $19.99 | 640 84% | 19k | $384k (exactly $383,808) | QueseraGames | |
| | Dawn of Anarchy | $13.99 | 125 84% | 3.8k | $52k (exactly $52,462) | Quacky Games | |
| | Death by Scrolling | $7.99 | 177 77% | 5.3k | $42k (exactly $42,427) | Terrible Toybox NZ | |
| | Fresh Tracks | $24.99 | 53 94% | 1.6k | $40k (exactly $39,734) | Buffalo Buffalo | |
| | Mythic Kart Maker | · EA | $11.99 | 53 83% | 1.6k | $19k (exactly $19,064) | Dream Mix Games |
| | The Amazing Crackpots Club! | $14.99 | 41 95% | 1.2k | $18k (exactly $18,438) | Astrobard Games, IguanaBee | |
| | Galaxy Kart VR | $19.99 | 24 50% | 720 | $14k (exactly $14,393) | VRMonkey | |
| | SPORTAL | $7.99 | 57 94% | 1.7k | $14k (exactly $13,663) | Sleepwalking Potatoes | |
| | Football Fictional World Simulator | $14.99 | 24 75% | 720 | $11k (exactly $10,793) | keigo0221 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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