Do I ship it?

GamesExplorationExploration + Spaceships

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Spaceship Exploration game?

Exploration + Spaceships

Of 22 developers who shipped a Spaceship Exploration game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.5k, ×5.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $1.5k. Revenue is up 685% on the market; 28 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 685% on the market, 28 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Exploration + Spaceships
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $416 → $1.4k → $20k → $1.8k (still earning) → $4.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Exploration + Spaceships: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $1.4k (exactly $1,436)
Median $3.5k (exactly $3,506)
Top 25% $33k (exactly $33,278)
Top 5% $1.9M (exactly $1,881,259)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 59
Announced 28
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 685% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Exploration
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Spaceships
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Exploration; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Flight, PvE, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 16,142 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $3.5k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $1.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Exploration with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair22 devs · median $8.1k · 26 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  3. + Escape RoomFair122 devs · median $2.2k · 109 announced
  4. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 24 announced
  5. + WuxiaPoor odds12 devs · median $192k · 35 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds23 devs · median $82k · 61 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsPoor odds25 devs · median $69k · 90 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds146 devs · median $58k · 354 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced
  10. + FMVPoor odds45 devs · median $27k · 76 announced
  11. + FarmingPoor odds41 devs · median $24k · 58 announced
  12. + Job SimulatorPoor odds31 devs · median $23k · 56 announced

All 258 pairs on the Exploration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Avorion older $24.99 13,001 90% 390k $9.7M (exactly $9,746,850) Boxelware
Cosmoteer: Starship Architect & Commander · EA older $19.99 12,013 94% 360k $7.2M (exactly $7,204,196) Walternate Realities
Jump Space · EA $19.99 10,724 85% 322k $6.4M (exactly $6,431,183) Keepsake Games
Spaceflight Simulator · EA older $14.99 9,431 96% 283k $4.2M (exactly $4,241,121) Team Curiosity ✦
Chorus older $24.99 3,876 81% 116k $2.9M (exactly $2,905,837) Deep Silver Fishlabs
PULSAR: Lost Colony older $19.99 4,409 89% 132k $2.6M (exactly $2,644,077) Leafy Games
Star Valor older $24.99 3,272 88% 98k $2.5M (exactly $2,453,018) Rafael Burgos
Ostranauts $19.99 3,137 77% 94k $1.9M (exactly $1,881,259) Blue Bottle Games
Starminer · EA $29.99 1,818 72% 55k $1.6M (exactly $1,635,655) CoolAndGoodGames
Shortest Trip to Earth older $25.99 1,257 76% 38k $980k (exactly $980,083) Interactive Fate
HELL GALAXY $24.99 89 74% 2.7k $67k (exactly $66,723) Italian Games Factory
Clonizer $14.99 146 82% 4.4k $66k (exactly $65,656) Juicy Plume
Command Deck · EA $14.99 74 98% 2.2k $33k (exactly $33,278) k-critical
Quantum Void $11.99 69 95% 2.1k $25k (exactly $24,819) TacNours
eXoSpace Combat Engineer · EA $14.99 44 81% 1.3k $20k (exactly $19,787) Fantastimaker
Leaks In Space · EA $14.99 14 71% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Frostech Game Studio
Periapsis: Gravity Slingshot $5.99 27 81% 810 $4.9k (exactly $4,852) PcZ Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.