Games › Sports › Sports + Dystopian
Should I ship a Dystopian Sports game?
Sports + Dystopian
Only 9 developers shipped a Dystopian Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Le Mans Ultimate, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $810 against a market of $630. 15 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $539 (exactly $539) |
|---|---|
| Median | $809 (exactly $809) |
| Top 25% | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) |
| Top 5% | $18M (exactly $18,077,080) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 15 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 830% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 21,837 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $540. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Le Mans Ultimate | $39.99 | 15,068 79% | 452k | $18M (exactly $18,077,080) | Studio 397 | |
| | Rollerdrome | older | $29.99 | 1,486 91% | 45k | $1.3M (exactly $1,336,954) | Roll7 |
| | STRIDE | older | $19.99 | 1,975 79% | 59k | $1.2M (exactly $1,184,408) | Joy Way |
| | Pacer | older | $39.99 | 576 72% | 17k | $691k (exactly $691,027) | R8 Games Ltd |
| | Super Blood Hockey | older | $14.99 | 902 91% | 27k | $406k (exactly $405,629) | Loren Lemcke |
| | BULT: Hunting simulator | · EA | $9.99 | 869 87% | 26k | $260k (exactly $260,439) | Nordrise |
| | AaAaAA!!! - A Reckless Disregard for Gravity | older | $9.99 | 651 83% | 20k | $195k (exactly $195,105) | Dejobaan Games, LLC |
| | Vertiginous Golf | older | $9.99 | 113 62% | 3.4k | $34k (exactly $33,866) | Kinelco & Lone Elk Creative |
| | Election Year Knockout | older | $9.99 | 79 88% | 2.4k | $24k (exactly $23,676) | ExceptioNULL Games |
| | Poker Pretty Girls Battle: Texas Hold'em | older | $4.99 | 118 56% | 3.5k | $18k (exactly $17,665) | Zoo Corporation |
| | The Last Golfer | $19.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) | Karthik Subramanyam, Andrew Laing | |
| | Knockout 2: Wrath of the Karen | · EA | $19.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $4.2k (exactly $4,198) | ExceptioNULL Games |
| | Warranty Not Included | · EA | $8.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $809 (exactly $809) | VRXtra |
| | Bald Ball | $3.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | AlbertFreeman | |
| | Tired | $8.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $539 (exactly $539) | EXHAUST3D | |
| | HyperBlade 2050 - Dystopian Sports Manager | $14.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | Dejima Studios | |
| | Catch These Hands | · EA | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | MissilexCrisis |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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