Do I ship it?

GamesTrading Card GameTrading Card Game + Dungeon Crawler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dungeon Crawler Trading Card Game?

Trading Card Game + Dungeon Crawler

Only 10 developers shipped a Dungeon Crawler Trading Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Villages & Dungeons, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×3.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×346 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 24 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 24 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trading Card Game + Dungeon Crawler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Trading Card Game + Dungeon Crawler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $480 (exactly $480)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,310)
Top 25% $9.4k (exactly $9,444)
Top 5% $217k (exactly $217,249)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 25
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trading Card Game
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Trading Card Game, Dungeon Crawler
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 90% positive over 1,163 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $9.4k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trading Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  2. + SandboxFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $1.5k · 28 announced
  4. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds10 devs · median $10k · 26 announced
  5. + TradingPoor odds16 devs · median $10k · 36 announced
  6. + Life SimPoor odds18 devs · median $10k · 21 announced
  7. + CollectathonPoor odds26 devs · median $6.3k · 41 announced
  8. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $6.1k · 25 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds11 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  10. + Auto BattlerPoor odds22 devs · median $3.4k · 27 announced
  11. + Roguelike DeckbuilderPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 38 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds13 devs · median $3.1k · 36 announced

All 69 pairs on the Trading Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Heroes Wanted older $19.99 533 81% 16k $320k (exactly $319,640) Gameplete
FORCED SHOWDOWN older $19.99 491 82% 15k $294k (exactly $294,453) BetaDwarf
Villages & Dungeons $6.99 1,036 91% 31k $217k (exactly $217,249) CaCaFrog Studio
Power Chord older $19.99 170 71% 5.1k $102k (exactly $101,949) Big Blue Bubble
Chainsaw Warrior (Classic) older $4.99 229 64% 6.9k $34k (exactly $34,281) Auroch Digital
Handmancers · EA $14.99 76 88% 2.3k $34k (exactly $34,177) 58BLADES
Card Crawl older $2.99 175 76% 5.3k $16k (exactly $15,698) Arnold Rauers
Deep, In the Forest older $8.99 44 56% 1.3k $12k (exactly $11,867) Satur Entertainment
Millennium Strategy $14.99 21 85% 630 $9.4k (exactly $9,444) MiMo Games
Treasure Atlas · EA $11.99 12 83% 360 $4.3k (exactly $4,316) zzeerr
Sketch Crawler $7.00 11 72% 330 $2.3k (exactly $2,310) Koan
Necrocat $3.99 5 60% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Noct Paradox
Tenebrix · EA $15.99 1 0% 30 $480 (exactly $480) ColdForge Games
Random Isles $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Mounight
ONLY DEAD $12.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Games For Me
Cat & Mouse Dungeon $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Xunx

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.