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Should I ship a Dog Physics game?
Physics + Dogs
Of 26 developers who shipped a Dog Physics game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 16 developers shipped in the last year and 30 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $239 (exactly $239) |
| Top 25% | $2.9k (exactly $2,873) |
| Top 5% | $566k (exactly $565,911) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 26 |
| Released games | 68 |
| Announced | 30 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 795% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Adventure
- Price point
- $3.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Funny
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 4,407 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
Wobbledogs 2022 · $8.3M 
Arizona Sunshine® VR 2 2023 · $2.0M 
PHOGS! 2020 · $878k 
Pratfall 2026 · $670k 
Anthro Heat 2025 · $566k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Wobbledogs | older | $19.99 | 13,770 98% | 413k | $8.3M (exactly $8,257,869) | Animal Uprising |
| | Arizona Sunshine® VR 2 | older | $29.99 | 2,258 84% | 68k | $2.0M (exactly $2,031,523) | Vertigo Games |
| | PHOGS! | older | $24.99 | 1,171 78% | 35k | $878k (exactly $877,899) | Bit Loom Games |
| | Pratfall | $7.99 | 2,797 90% | 84k | $670k (exactly $670,441) | Quad Head | |
| | Anthro Heat | $29.99 | 629 92% | 19k | $566k (exactly $565,911) | Blue Lizard Studios | |
 | Dogpile | $9.99 | 708 95% | 21k | $212k (exactly $212,188) | Studio Folly, Toot Games, Foot | |
 | That Which Gave Chase | older | $4.99 | 1,102 91% | 33k | $165k (exactly $164,969) | Aslak |
 | My Exercise | older | $3.99 | 415 93% | 12k | $50k (exactly $49,676) | Atsushi Wada, mikyokyuji, New Deer, Pla… (Atsushi Wada, mikyokyuji, New Deer, Playables) |
 | Astronimo | older | $14.99 | 47 80% | 1.4k | $21k (exactly $21,136) | Coatsink |
 | Burgle Supply Company | $7.99 | 85 88% | 2.6k | $20k (exactly $20,374) | Terrible Posture Games | |
 | Dawg Game | $3.99 | 104 98% | 3.1k | $12k (exactly $12,449) | Big Noses Entertainment | |
 | Ollie-Oop | $12.99 | 24 91% | 720 | $9.4k (exactly $9,353) | Almost Playable Games | |
 | Tongue of Dog | $3.99 | 24 95% | 720 | $2.9k (exactly $2,873) | LauNewBee | |
 | Woofy Run | · EA | $4.99 | 14 78% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | ICON GAME STUDIO |
 | Fart King | $2.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $1.4k (exactly $1,435) | SmoochGM | |
 | Night Light | $2.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $538 (exactly $538) | Stunfish |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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