Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Dogs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dog Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Dogs

Only 18 developers shipped a Dog Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Gaucho and the Grassland, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.1k, ×8.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $240. Revenue is up 935% on the market; 20 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 935% on the market, 20 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Dogs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $531k → $35k → $59 → $24k → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Dogs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $4.1k (exactly $4,133)
Top 25% $61k (exactly $61,377)
Top 5% $246k (exactly $245,877)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 38
Announced 20
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 935% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dogs
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Building, Life Sim
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,943 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $4.1k, 1 in 4 over $61k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  3. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  4. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  5. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  6. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  7. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  9. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  10. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  11. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds24 devs · median $31k · 36 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin older $29.99 5,004 92% 150k $4.5M (exactly $4,502,099) Edelweiss
No Place Like Home older $19.99 3,784 78% 114k $2.3M (exactly $2,269,265) Chicken Launcher
STORY OF SEASONS: Pioneers of Olive Town older $39.99 1,357 82% 41k $1.6M (exactly $1,627,993) Marvelous Inc.
STORY OF SEASONS: A Wonderful Life older $39.99 1,199 78% 36k $1.4M (exactly $1,438,440) Marvelous Inc.
Big Farm Story older $19.99 1,172 78% 35k $703k (exactly $702,848) Goodgame Studios
Everdream Valley older $24.99 708 70% 21k $531k (exactly $530,788) Mooneaters
Gaucho and the Grassland $19.99 410 96% 12k $246k (exactly $245,877) Epopeia Games
Dog Brew older $3.50 1,522 97% 46k $160k (exactly $159,810) Yuliy Oneshko, S-Grade
Rancher: A new life · EA $19.99 265 64% 8.0k $159k (exactly $158,920) Sim Farm S.A.
Not Monday Cafe $8.99 539 94% 16k $145k (exactly $145,368) Sunny Syrup Studio
Everdream Village · EA $19.99 107 69% 3.2k $64k (exactly $64,168) Mooneaters
Typing Farmer $4.99 410 87% 12k $61k (exactly $61,377) MilkwayStudio
Furry Company $5.99 133 80% 4.0k $24k (exactly $23,900) Dreamscape Studio
Colored Pencil Bakery $9.99 36 88% 1.1k $11k (exactly $10,789) Andymente
Virago World $9.99 14 71% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Honest Chronicle
Tulip Season $5.99 23 100% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) Poppy Labs
Happy Puppy $3.99 6 50% 180 $718 (exactly $718) Aminur Rahaman

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.