Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Artificial Intelligence

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an AI Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Artificial Intelligence

Only 17 developers shipped an AI Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Farmer Was Replaced, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $50. Revenue is up 750% on the market; 16 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 750% on the market, 16 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Artificial Intelligence
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $240 → $0 → $24k → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Artificial Intelligence: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $24,276)
Top 5% $2.7M (exactly $2,732,065)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 30
Announced 16
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.49

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 750% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Artificial Intelligence
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Automation, Idler
Price point
$5.49 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.49.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 9,775 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $720, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $2.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  7. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  9. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  10. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  11. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds24 devs · median $31k · 36 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Farmer Was Replaced $9.99 9,116 95% 273k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,065) Timon Herzog
Crypto Mining Simulator older $4.99 1,419 65% 43k $212k (exactly $212,424) Satosha Nakamoti
Weed Shop 4: Highland · EA $19.99 205 52% 6.2k $123k (exactly $122,938) Weed Games
Farm Factory Simulator · EA $12.99 98 93% 2.9k $38k (exactly $38,191) Bewolba Studios
Vilmonic older $14.99 69 69% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) Bludgeonsoft
Slice the Crops! $5.49 163 80% 4.9k $27k (exactly $26,846) Wobblers Games
The Lustful Inn of Female Adventurers $9.99 81 76% 2.4k $24k (exactly $24,276) StudioVR
Life of an NPC · EA $14.99 21 52% 630 $9.4k (exactly $9,444) Max Loh
Yet Another Incremental Game (but this time about coding) · EA $7.99 39 71% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) Raclette Games
Kselebox · EA older $4.99 48 68% 1.4k $7.2k (exactly $7,186) KseLeroN
Shelter X $2.99 38 73% 1.1k $3.4k (exactly $3,409) Inspite, W-I-W
Meer's: Escape $3.99 6 66% 180 $718 (exactly $718) Meer's
Tranquil Koi 鯉の池 $2.99 8 62% 240 $718 (exactly $718) FroggySoggy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.