Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Job Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Job Simulator Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Job Simulator

Only 19 developers shipped a Job Simulator Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Ranch of Rivershine, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $12k, ×26 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $3.6k. Revenue is up 310% on the market; 23 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 25.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 310% on the market, 23 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Job Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.4k → $12k → $40k (still earning) → $510 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Job Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Median $12k (exactly $12,163)
Top 25% $38k (exactly $38,191)
Top 5% $1.8M (exactly $1,844,385)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 27
Announced 23
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 310% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Job Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Job Simulator; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Life Sim, Simulation, Immersive Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Relaxing, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 3,074 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.6k, median $12k, 1 in 4 over $38k, 1 in 20 over $1.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.6k. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  2. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  3. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  4. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  5. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  6. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  7. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  9. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  10. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  11. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds24 devs · median $31k · 36 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ranch Simulator: Build, Hunt, Farm older $24.99 40,862 79% 1.2M $31M (exactly $30,634,241) Toxic Dog
The Ranch of Rivershine $29.99 2,050 94% 62k $1.8M (exactly $1,844,385) Cozy Bee Games
Garden Life: A Cozy Simulator older $24.99 899 78% 27k $674k (exactly $673,980) stillalive studios
Happy Sheepies older $19.99 561 85% 17k $336k (exactly $336,432) Berker Games
Japanese Rural Life Adventure $24.99 238 80% 7.1k $178k (exactly $178,429) G-MODE, GAME START LLC
Fishing Paradiso older $14.99 301 91% 9.0k $135k (exactly $135,360) Odencat
Plant Nursery Simulator $12.99 330 93% 9.9k $129k (exactly $128,601) Robot Assembly
Professional Farmer 2014 older $7.99 188 45% 5.6k $45k (exactly $45,064) PlayWay S.A.
Lawn Care Simulator $19.99 67 91% 2.0k $40k (exactly $40,180) Zac Marvin, Edward DePew
Farm Factory Simulator · EA $12.99 98 93% 2.9k $38k (exactly $38,191) Bewolba Studios
Kokoro Kitchen $11.99 70 81% 2.1k $25k (exactly $25,179) Mango Leaf Games
My Heaven's Dale $11.99 66 95% 2.0k $24k (exactly $23,740) DreamingCat
Farmer's Shop Simulator · EA $11.99 56 48% 1.7k $20k (exactly $20,143) SleepySealsGames
CRUFT $9.99 41 92% 1.2k $12k (exactly $12,288) Go On Entertainment
Magical Greenhouse $6.99 58 93% 1.7k $12k (exactly $12,163) Mgtt Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.