Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Psychological Horror

Only 11 developers shipped a Psychological-Horror Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Wanderstop, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $110k, ×233 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $15k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.2M, ×4637 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 25 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 232.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 25 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.1k → $63k → $247k (still earning) → $14k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $14k (exactly $14,393)
Median $111k (exactly $110,512)
Top 25% $828k (exactly $827,834)
Top 5% $2.2M (exactly $2,202,619)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 29
Announced 25
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 15,388 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $15k, median $110k, 1 in 4 over $820k, 1 in 20 over $2.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $15k. 25 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  11. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds24 devs · median $31k · 36 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wanderstop $24.99 2,938 92% 88k $2.2M (exactly $2,202,619) Ivy Road
Berry Bury Berry $7.99 8,619 98% 259k $2.1M (exactly $2,065,974) Get(Color) Games
Fisher Online older $13.99 4,199 81% 126k $1.8M (exactly $1,762,320) R-Age LLC
Village in the Shade $49.99 552 91% 17k $828k (exactly $827,834) Nippon Ichi Software, Inc.
KoboldKare older $14.99 1,836 89% 55k $826k (exactly $825,649) Naelstrof
Grunn $12.99 1,345 95% 40k $524k (exactly $524,146) Sokpop Collective, Tom van den Boogaart
Goblin Nest $6.99 1,177 93% 35k $247k (exactly $246,817) BadColor
Harvest Island older $24.99 228 82% 6.8k $171k (exactly $170,932) Yobob
Gnomes Garden older $14.99 262 87% 7.9k $118k (exactly $117,821) Workroom7, Creobit
Dread Fields $6.99 527 98% 16k $111k (exactly $110,512) Podoba Interactive
Cryptid Farm $4.99 153 96% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) GameByFlamey
Pumpkin Woods · EA $19.99 24 87% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) Enchanted Pumpkin Co.
The Plant Shop $4.99 51 98% 1.5k $7.6k (exactly $7,635) Tori
Harvest Scream · EA $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Green Vector Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.