Do I ship it?

GamesExplorationExploration + Dogs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dog Exploration game?

Exploration + Dogs

Of 84 developers who shipped a Dog Exploration game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 144 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.3k, ×6.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $840; 1 in 20 cleared $670k, ×1411 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 144 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.9 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 144 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Exploration + Dogs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 84
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $43k → $2.9k → $7.7k → $3.6k → $2.6k → $4.5k → $3.3k (still earning) → $1.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Exploration + Dogs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 84
Bottom 30% $839 (exactly $839)
Median $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,682)
Top 5% $670k (exactly $670,441)
Developers, 2 yr 84
Released games 273
Announced 144
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Exploration
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dogs
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Exploration; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Atmospheric, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 19,132 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $840, median $3.3k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $670k.

3 in 10 developers made under $840. 8 in 10 of the 51 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 144 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Exploration with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair22 devs · median $8.1k · 26 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  3. + SpaceshipsFair22 devs · median $3.5k · 28 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair122 devs · median $2.2k · 109 announced
  5. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 24 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds12 devs · median $192k · 35 announced
  7. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds23 devs · median $82k · 61 announced
  8. + Martial ArtsPoor odds25 devs · median $69k · 90 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds146 devs · median $58k · 354 announced
  10. + MMORPGPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced
  11. + FMVPoor odds45 devs · median $27k · 76 announced
  12. + FarmingPoor odds41 devs · median $24k · 58 announced

All 258 pairs on the Exploration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
My Little Puppy $24.99 4,435 97% 133k $3.3M (exactly $3,324,920) Dreamotion Inc.
Enigma of Fear $29.99 3,045 95% 91k $2.7M (exactly $2,739,586) Dumativa, Cellbit
Cat Quest II older $14.99 5,850 95% 176k $2.6M (exactly $2,630,745) The Gentlebros
No Place Like Home older $19.99 3,784 78% 114k $2.3M (exactly $2,269,265) Chicken Launcher
Copycat $14.99 4,611 89% 138k $2.1M (exactly $2,073,567) Spoonful Of Wonder
Way of the Hunter 2 · EA $34.99 1,534 73% 46k $1.6M (exactly $1,610,240) Nine Rocks Games
The Flame in the Flood older $14.99 2,709 76% 81k $1.2M (exactly $1,218,237) The Molasses Flood
Hunting Simulator 2 older $39.99 904 70% 27k $1.1M (exactly $1,084,529) Nacon Studio Ghent
Beat Banger · EA older $9.99 3,311 93% 99k $992k (exactly $992,307) BunFan Games LLC
The Red Lantern older $24.99 934 83% 28k $700k (exactly $700,220) Timberline Studio
Pratfall $7.99 2,797 90% 84k $670k (exactly $670,441) Quad Head
Restore Your Island $12.99 1,631 77% 49k $636k (exactly $635,601) Paiband Game Studio
Gaucho and the Grassland $19.99 410 96% 12k $246k (exactly $245,877) Epopeia Games
Koira $17.99 289 93% 8.7k $156k (exactly $155,973) Studio Tolima
Stars In The Trash $11.99 279 97% 8.4k $100k (exactly $100,356) Valhalla Cats
LOST EMBER: Rekindled Edition $29.99 101 77% 3.0k $91k (exactly $90,870) Mooneye Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.