Games › Hex Grid › Hex Grid + Dark Fantasy
Should I ship a Dark-Fantasy Hex Grid game?
Hex Grid + Dark Fantasy
Only 15 developers shipped a Dark-Fantasy Hex Grid game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Frosthaven, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.4k, ×5.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $970k, ×1555 the market median. Revenue is up 750% on the market; 32 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.4k (exactly $3,418) |
| Top 25% | $73k (exactly $72,851) |
| Top 5% | $977k (exactly $976,556) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 32 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 750% on the market, supply 175% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Hex Grid
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Dark Fantasy
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Hex Grid; all of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Tactical RPG, Turn-Based Combat
- Price point
- $14.99 typical · top 25% priced $44.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Isometric, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $44.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 1,663 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Hex Grid with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Strategy RPGPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + Card BattlerPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + RoguelikePoor odds
Comparable games
Armello 2015 · $8.3M 
Thea: The Awakening 2015 · $2.0M 
Alina of the Arena 2022 · $1.6M 
Brigandine The Legend of Runersia 2022 · $1.6M 
Fantasy General II 2019 · $1.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Armello | older | $24.99 | 11,013 82% | 330k | $8.3M (exactly $8,256,446) | League of Geeks |
| | Thea: The Awakening | older | $19.99 | 3,318 87% | 100k | $2.0M (exactly $1,989,805) | MuHa Games |
| | Alina of the Arena | older | $14.99 | 3,577 91% | 107k | $1.6M (exactly $1,608,577) | PINIX |
| | Brigandine The Legend of Runersia | older | $39.99 | 1,331 85% | 40k | $1.6M (exactly $1,596,801) | Happinet, Matrix |
| | Fantasy General II | older | $39.99 | 1,034 82% | 31k | $1.2M (exactly $1,240,490) | Owned by Gravity |
 | Urtuk: The Desolation | older | $13.99 | 2,408 87% | 72k | $1.0M (exactly $1,010,638) | David Kaleta |
 | Frosthaven | · EA | $39.99 | 814 72% | 24k | $977k (exactly $976,556) | Snapshot Games Inc. |
 | Blackguards | older | $9.99 | 3,000 63% | 90k | $899k (exactly $899,100) | Daedalic Entertainment |
 | Disciples: Domination | $44.99 | 218 65% | 6.5k | $294k (exactly $294,235) | Artefacts Studio | |
 | Blackguards 2 | older | $9.99 | 953 64% | 29k | $286k (exactly $285,614) | Daedalic Entertainment |
 | Veterum | $19.99 | 204 85% | 6.1k | $122k (exactly $122,339) | Crasleen Games | |
 | Conquest Tactics : Realm of Sin | $14.99 | 162 69% | 4.9k | $73k (exactly $72,851) | Singular Sunshine Studios | |
 | Fight Life: Vanguard | $11.99 | 164 69% | 4.9k | $59k (exactly $58,991) | StartImpulse, Two Cakes Studio | |
 | Deep Fringe | · EA | $19.99 | 45 88% | 1.4k | $27k (exactly $26,986) | Bosoneon Studio |
 | Demiurges | $14.99 | 36 88% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $16,189) | Berih | |
 | Thule | $18.99 | 6 50% | 180 | $3.4k (exactly $3,418) | Xeaker | |
 | Solnox - Grimoire of Seasons | $6.66 | 12 75% | 360 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | ByteRockers' Games | |
 | The Adventure of Fred - The traveler's dial - | $8.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $539 (exactly $539) | FredsGamesStudios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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