Do I ship it?

GamesTrading Card GameTrading Card Game + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Trading Card Game?

Trading Card Game + Cyberpunk

Only 5 developers shipped a Cyberpunk Trading Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ender theater, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $120 against a market of $630. 22 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 22 announced, ×11 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trading Card Game + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Trading Card Game + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $119 (exactly $119)
Top 25% $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 5% $8.4k (exactly $8,392)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 26
Announced 22
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 35%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trading Card Game
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Trading Card Game
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 9,247 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $8.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trading Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  2. + SandboxFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $1.5k · 28 announced
  4. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds10 devs · median $10k · 26 announced
  5. + TradingPoor odds16 devs · median $10k · 36 announced
  6. + Life SimPoor odds18 devs · median $10k · 21 announced
  7. + CollectathonPoor odds26 devs · median $6.3k · 41 announced
  8. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $6.1k · 25 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds11 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  10. + Auto BattlerPoor odds22 devs · median $3.4k · 27 announced
  11. + Roguelike DeckbuilderPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 38 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds13 devs · median $3.1k · 36 announced

All 69 pairs on the Trading Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nowhere Prophet older $24.99 721 77% 22k $541k (exactly $540,534) Sharkbomb Studios
Zup! F older $1.99 7,749 96% 232k $463k (exactly $462,615) Quiet River
System Crash older $14.99 250 83% 7.5k $112k (exactly $112,425) Rogue Moon Studios
Zero Division older $12.99 271 87% 8.1k $106k (exactly $105,609) Robot Cat Limited
CyberTD older $19.99 50 66% 1.5k $30k (exactly $29,985) Clockwork Origins
Cartridge Defense older $11.99 80 91% 2.4k $29k (exactly $28,776) Out Gaming
Perfect Dice older $9.99 56 75% 1.7k $17k (exactly $16,783) Tilt Station
CITY WARS: TOKYO REIGN older $12.99 23 60% 690 $9.0k (exactly $8,963) Mojo Bones Ltd
Ender theater $9.99 28 50% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) FeatherRain
Dickdown Duel older $9.99 19 73% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) Azurezero
Cyber Quest $7.99 7 100% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Super Punch Games
Apocalypse: The Hunger $1.99 2 0% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Bit Boy Games
The Black Signal $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) ERMedia
ESTRO Quantum · EA $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Estro.Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.