Do I ship it?

GamesSportsSports + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Sports game?

Sports + Cyberpunk

Of 25 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×463 the market median. Revenue is up 545% on the market; 43 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 545% on the market, 43 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $6.0k → $51k → $898 → $1.6k → $450 → $599 (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Top 5% $291k (exactly $290,854)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 102
Announced 43
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 545% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, PvP
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,586 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $480, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Punch Club 2: Fast Forward older $19.99 3,808 81% 114k $2.3M (exactly $2,283,658) Lazy Bear Games
Synth Riders older $24.99 1,336 92% 40k $1.0M (exactly $1,001,599) Kluge Interactive
Pacer older $39.99 576 72% 17k $691k (exactly $691,027) R8 Games Ltd
Ricochet older $4.99 4,549 82% 136k $681k (exactly $680,985) Valve
DeathSprint 66 older $19.99 495 83% 15k $297k (exactly $296,852) Sumo Digital
Synthwave Burnout $12.99 751 74% 23k $293k (exactly $292,665) Whale Rock Games
Whisker Squadron: Survivor $19.99 485 77% 15k $291k (exactly $290,854) Flippfly LLC
AaAaAA!!! - A Reckless Disregard for Gravity older $9.99 651 83% 20k $195k (exactly $195,105) Dejobaan Games, LLC
AaaaaAAaaaAAAaaAAAAaAAAAA!!! for the Awesome older $9.99 535 81% 16k $160k (exactly $160,340) Dejobaan Games, LLC, Owlchemy Labs
STRIDE: Fates older $29.99 149 51% 4.5k $134k (exactly $134,055) Joy Way
Tower Tag $9.99 180 90% 5.4k $54k (exactly $53,946) Steinfatt GmbH
FUTA FIGHT & FUCK 🥊 $14.99 115 92% 3.5k $52k (exactly $51,716) BanzaiProject
Project Hover · EA $9.99 27 88% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Ulysses Graphics
Hover REV Hispeed Burst $10.99 5 60% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) JKK_WORKS
高球王者 GolfKings $11.99 4 75% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) 小如文化
Plane Crazy Championship Edition $5.99 8 100% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Inner Workings, Jordan Freeman Group, S… (Inner Workings, Jordan Freeman Group, SegaSoft)
Savage Arena: Dead Ball Zone $5.99 5 80% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Rage Software, Jordan Freeman Group
VR # AVOID $4.99 6 83% 180 $898 (exactly $898) s0trax994

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.