Games › Sandbox › Sandbox + Conspiracy
Should I ship a Conspiracy Sandbox?
Sandbox + Conspiracy
Only 9 developers shipped a Conspiracy Sandbox in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Berry Bury Berry, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×8.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $2.0M, ×3290 the market median. Revenue is up 5920% on the market; 43 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $119 (exactly $119) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $20k (exactly $20,093) |
| Top 5% | $2.1M (exactly $2,065,974) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 5920% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sandbox
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Conspiracy
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sandbox
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 116,059 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 43 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sandbox with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FightingStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + World War IIFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + CatsFair
- + SportsFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Trading Card GameFair
- + IdlerFair
Comparable games
Assassin's Creed 2 2010 · $35M 
Assassin’s Creed® Brotherhood 2011 · $15M 
Assassin's Creed® Revelations 2011 · $12M 
Berry Bury Berry 2026 · $2.1M 
Squirrel with a Gun 2024 · $1.9M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Assassin's Creed 2 | older | $19.99 | 57,661 89% | 1.7M | $35M (exactly $34,579,302) | Ubisoft Montreal |
| | Assassin’s Creed® Brotherhood | older | $19.99 | 24,958 88% | 749k | $15M (exactly $14,967,313) | Ubisoft Montreal |
| | Assassin's Creed® Revelations | older | $19.99 | 19,244 83% | 577k | $12M (exactly $11,540,627) | Ubisoft Montreal |
| | Berry Bury Berry | $7.99 | 8,619 98% | 259k | $2.1M (exactly $2,065,974) | Get(Color) Games | |
| | Squirrel with a Gun | older | $19.99 | 3,112 86% | 93k | $1.9M (exactly $1,866,266) | Dee Dee Creations LLC |
 | Sigma Theory: Global Cold War | older | $17.99 | 892 77% | 27k | $481k (exactly $481,412) | Mi-Clos Studio, Goblinz Studio, FibreTi… (Mi-Clos Studio, Goblinz Studio, FibreTigre) |
 | Project P.I.T.T. | $9.99 | 961 78% | 29k | $288k (exactly $288,012) | Froke | |
 | Secret Government | older | $19.99 | 249 52% | 7.5k | $149k (exactly $149,325) | GameTrek |
 | I Am Your President | older | $14.99 | 263 66% | 7.9k | $118k (exactly $118,271) | President |
 | The Shadow Government Simulator | older | $9.99 | 100 75% | 3.0k | $30k (exactly $29,970) | Chupacabra Game Studios |
 | Colony 37 | · EA | $2.99 | 224 95% | 6.7k | $20k (exactly $20,093) | Valen |
 | Chicken Strike®: Cluck Ops™ | $1.99 | 14 42% | 420 | $836 (exactly $836) | Bamboléo Games | |
 | GET 0UT | $9.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | ICE9 Games | |
 | Dead Frequency | $2.35 | 4 75% | 120 | $282 (exactly $282) | Reverse Revelation | |
 | The S.H.O.W. | $1.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $119 (exactly $119) | SGS | |
 | Emperor Pigeon - Sandbox | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Emperor Pigeon | |
 | Volcano Logistics | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | GraveBell |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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