Games › Physics › Physics + Conspiracy
Should I ship a Conspiracy Physics game?
Physics + Conspiracy
Only 16 developers shipped a Conspiracy Physics game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Berry Bury Berry, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $2.0M, ×3290 the market median. Revenue is up 720% on the market; 36 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $360 (exactly $360) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) |
| Top 25% | $35k (exactly $35,331) |
| Top 5% | $2.1M (exactly $2,065,974) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 36 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 720% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Physics
- effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
- Conspiracy
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 96% positive over 10,022 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Berry Bury Berry | $7.99 | 8,619 98% | 259k | $2.1M (exactly $2,065,974) | Get(Color) Games | |
| | Project P.I.T.T. | $9.99 | 961 78% | 29k | $288k (exactly $288,012) | Froke | |
| | Space Accident VR | $16.99 | 231 82% | 6.9k | $118k (exactly $117,741) | VR-WRG | |
| | Gaia Beyond | older | $14.99 | 240 73% | 7.2k | $108k (exactly $107,928) | Warp Turtle |
| | Deep Space Exploitation | $8.99 | 131 96% | 3.9k | $35k (exactly $35,331) | JuhrJuhr | |
| | Detective Penguin | $6.99 | 54 87% | 1.6k | $11k (exactly $11,324) | That Other Fish, That Fish | |
| | ColorBlend FX: Desaturation | older | $15.99 | 21 90% | 630 | $10k (exactly $10,074) | Pi-Dev Bulgaria |
| | MMY: Otherworld Mystery | older | $9.99 | 14 92% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | Dnovel |
| | If Fusion Were That Easy | older | $14.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $4.0k (exactly $4,047) | Golden Coin Games |
| | Unseen Diplomacy 2 | $18.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $3.4k (exactly $3,418) | Triangular Pixels | |
| | Spymaster | · EA | $11.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $2.2k (exactly $2,158) | InnerspaceVR |
| | Crossed Wires | $11.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Aleth Labs | |
| | Sense of Darkness | $4.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Iurii Coseacov | |
| | A Totally Legal Archaeology Adventure | $4.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Exponential production |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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