Games › Sports › Sports + Combat
Should I ship a Combat Sports game?
Sports + Combat
Of 138 developers who shipped a Combat Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 201 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $630, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×173 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 201 games are announced against 78 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $90 (exactly $90) |
|---|---|
| Median | $629 (exactly $629) |
| Top 25% | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) |
| Top 5% | $109k (exactly $108,864) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 138 |
| Released games | 381 |
| Announced | 201 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports, Combat; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, PvP
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 62% positive over 25,072 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 78 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 201 games are announced against 78 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
Undisputed 2024 · $29M 
MindsEye 2025 · $3.0M 
Aerofly FS 4 Flight Simulator 2022 · $2.5M 
RUMBLE 2022 · EA · $2.4M 
Punch Club 2: Fast Forward 2023 · $2.3M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Undisputed | $49.99 | 19,190 60% | 576k | $29M (exactly $28,779,243) | Steel City Interactive | |
| | MindsEye | $34.99 | 2,855 48% | 86k | $3.0M (exactly $2,996,894) | Build A Rocket Boy | |
| | Aerofly FS 4 Flight Simulator | older | $59.99 | 1,400 89% | 42k | $2.5M (exactly $2,519,580) | IPACS |
| | RUMBLE | · EA older | $24.99 | 3,158 87% | 95k | $2.4M (exactly $2,367,553) | Buckethead Entertainment |
| | Punch Club 2: Fast Forward | older | $19.99 | 3,808 81% | 114k | $2.3M (exactly $2,283,658) | Lazy Bear Games |
 | Wrestling Empire | older | $19.99 | 3,036 94% | 91k | $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) | MDickie |
 | AEW: Fight Forever | older | $39.99 | 1,343 59% | 40k | $1.6M (exactly $1,611,197) | YUKE'S |
 | Rollerdrome | older | $29.99 | 1,486 91% | 45k | $1.3M (exactly $1,336,954) | Roll7 |
 | The Karters 2: Turbo Charged | · EA | $29.99 | 1,043 91% | 31k | $938k (exactly $938,387) | Pixel Edge Games |
 | Waifu Fighter | older | $7.99 | 2,677 86% | 80k | $642k (exactly $641,677) | Happy Monster Studio |
 | Helskate | $24.99 | 301 65% | 9.0k | $226k (exactly $225,660) | Phantom Coast | |
 | SpeedRunners 2: King of Speed | $9.99 | 447 55% | 13k | $134k (exactly $133,966) | Fair Play Labs | |
 | Shooters, Ready! | $4.99 | 807 99% | 24k | $121k (exactly $120,808) | おこめたべたべず | |
 | LES MILLS XR BODYCOMBAT | $29.99 | 121 85% | 3.6k | $109k (exactly $108,864) | Odders Lab | |
 | Speed Vortex | $39.99 | 89 92% | 2.7k | $107k (exactly $106,773) | Alambi | |
 | Mutant Football League 2 | $24.99 | 135 73% | 4.1k | $101k (exactly $101,210) | Digital Dreams Entertainment | |
 | Outpost Legends | $39.99 | 84 95% | 2.5k | $101k (exactly $100,775) | OUT LLL |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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