Games › Sports › Sports + Collectathon
Should I ship a Collectathon Sports game?
Sports + Collectathon
Of 38 developers who shipped a Collectathon Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×176 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 35 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $119 (exactly $119) |
|---|---|
| Median | $719 (exactly $719) |
| Top 25% | $14k (exactly $14,072) |
| Top 5% | $110k (exactly $110,372) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 38 |
| Released games | 115 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sports
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Collectathon
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports, Collectathon; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Card Battler
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 12,096 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. Nearly all of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road 2025 · $23M 
The Fisherman - Fishing Planet 2019 · $877k 
Canyon of Outlaws 2025 · $110k 
Ammo Bounce 2025 · $104k 
Rocket Boots Mania 2025 · $103k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road | $69.99 | 11,180 88% | 335k | $23M (exactly $23,474,646) | LEVEL5 Inc. | |
| | The Fisherman - Fishing Planet | older | $29.99 | 975 62% | 29k | $877k (exactly $877,208) | Fishing Planet LLC |
| | Canyon of Outlaws | $39.99 | 92 89% | 2.8k | $110k (exactly $110,372) | Javlier P | |
| | Ammo Bounce | $39.99 | 87 88% | 2.6k | $104k (exactly $104,374) | TurboJo | |
| | Rocket Boots Mania | $14.99 | 229 99% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Luma Play | |
 | Double Driver | $39.99 | 84 90% | 2.5k | $101k (exactly $100,775) | FinComBan | |
 | Sports Card Shop Simulator | · EA | $12.99 | 155 92% | 4.7k | $60k (exactly $60,404) | OverPowered Team |
 | No Fair Play | older | $2.99 | 452 90% | 14k | $41k (exactly $40,544) | Self MADev |
 | Extra Coin | $14.99 | 86 91% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $38,674) | CINIC Games | |
 | Dolphin Spirit: Ocean Mission | older | $24.99 | 37 86% | 1.1k | $28k (exactly $27,739) | Magic Pockets |
 | Football Rising:Zero to Hero | $14.99 | 54 90% | 1.6k | $24k (exactly $24,284) | Den Spade | |
 | Seafrog | $14.99 | 35 100% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $15,740) | OhMyMe Games | |
 | Witchy Wonderland | $4.99 | 94 94% | 2.8k | $14k (exactly $14,072) | Cow Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.