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Should I ship a Wargame Class-Based game?
Class-Based + Wargame
Only 14 developers shipped a Wargame Class-Based game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WARDOGS, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $9.4k, ×6.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.9k; 1 in 20 cleared $69M, ×46651 the market median. Revenue is up 1870% on the market; 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.9k (exactly $2,878) |
|---|---|
| Median | $9.4k (exactly $9,418) |
| Top 25% | $1.4M (exactly $1,406,437) |
| Top 5% | $70M (exactly $69,882,525) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $12.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1870% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Class-Based
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Wargame
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Class-Based, Wargame; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, FPS
- Price point
- $12.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $12.99.
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 95,614 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.9k. 6 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Class-Based with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + AutomationFair
- + Bullet HeavenFair
- + SupernaturalLong shot
- + 2D PlatformerLong shot
- + FPSPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + Third-Person ShooterPoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
Comparable games
WARDOGS 2026 · EA · $70M 
Starship Troopers: Extermination 2024 · $27M 
Isonzo 2022 · $17M 
Gallipoli 2026 · $3.6M 
Three Kingdoms Mushouden 2025 · $1.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | WARDOGS | · EA | $39.99 | 58,250 81% | 1.7M | $70M (exactly $69,882,525) | BULKHEAD |
| | Starship Troopers: Extermination | $29.99 | 29,724 80% | 892k | $27M (exactly $26,742,683) | Offworld | |
| | Isonzo | older | $39.99 | 14,434 85% | 433k | $17M (exactly $17,316,470) | BlackMill Games |
| | Gallipoli | $29.99 | 4,015 78% | 120k | $3.6M (exactly $3,612,296) | BlackMill Games | |
| | Three Kingdoms Mushouden | $24.99 | 1,876 72% | 56k | $1.4M (exactly $1,406,437) | NanBei Studio | |
 | War Dust VR: 32v32 Battlefields | older | $24.99 | 1,489 80% | 45k | $1.1M (exactly $1,116,303) | raptor lab |
 | Heroes of Valor | · EA | $14.99 | 1,324 90% | 40k | $595k (exactly $595,403) | Fancy Cat Interactive |
 | Vestaria Saga II: The Sacred Sword of Silvanister | older | $19.99 | 235 87% | 7.1k | $141k (exactly $140,930) | Vestaria Project |
 | Flowers and Deities | $12.99 | 265 90% | 8.0k | $103k (exactly $103,270) | Chill Winter Studio | |
 | Gemini Wars | older | $9.99 | 141 32% | 4.2k | $42k (exactly $42,258) | Camel 101 |
 | Future Breach 64 | $2.99 | 105 86% | 3.2k | $9.4k (exactly $9,418) | Yurii Nikshych | |
 | Open The Gate: Just A Little | $5.99 | 37 75% | 1.1k | $6.6k (exactly $6,649) | Abubu Dance | |
 | Bedroom Battlegrounds | $9.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | WCHC | |
 | Broad Sword | $11.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $2.9k (exactly $2,878) | Refractal Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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