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Should I ship a Snow Choose Your Own Adventure game?
Choose Your Own Adventure + Snow
Only 10 developers shipped a Snow Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mon Bazou, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $750, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $9.5M, ×20119 the market median. Revenue is up 4375% on the market; 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $446 (exactly $446) |
|---|---|
| Median | $750 (exactly $750) |
| Top 25% | $19k (exactly $18,697) |
| Top 5% | $9.6M (exactly $9,556,583) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 34 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4375% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
- Snow
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- Price point
- $10.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 97% positive over 20,405 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + FMVFair
- + FlightFair
- + SportsFair
- + Word GameFair
- + MilitaryFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + 3D FighterLong shot
- + NavalPoor odds
Comparable games
Mon Bazou 2025 · $9.6M 
The Pale Beyond 2023 · $1.1M 
The Red Lantern 2021 · $700k 
Mashiroiro Symphony HD -Love is Pure White- 2024 · $425k 
Kona II: Brume 2023 · $390k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Mon Bazou | $15.99 | 19,922 97% | 598k | $9.6M (exactly $9,556,583) | Santa Goat | |
| | The Pale Beyond | older | $19.99 | 1,858 90% | 56k | $1.1M (exactly $1,114,243) | Saltstone Studios |
| | The Red Lantern | older | $24.99 | 934 83% | 28k | $700k (exactly $700,220) | Timberline Studio |
| | Mashiroiro Symphony HD -Love is Pure White- | older | $39.99 | 354 87% | 11k | $425k (exactly $424,694) | Palette |
| | Kona II: Brume | older | $29.99 | 433 80% | 13k | $390k (exactly $389,570) | Parabole |
 | Frostrain 2 | $10.99 | 374 89% | 11k | $123k (exactly $123,308) | nemonan | |
 | MAKOTO WAKAIDO’s Case Files TRILOGY DELUXE | older | $12.99 | 259 77% | 7.8k | $101k (exactly $100,932) | Hakababunko |
 | Twofold | older | $19.99 | 106 97% | 3.2k | $64k (exactly $63,568) | Salty Salty Studios, Studio Coattails |
 | Firebird | older | $11.99 | 68 100% | 2.0k | $24k (exactly $24,460) | Ludogram, FibreTigre, Quentin Vijoux |
 | Darkway: Murder of King Mere | $7.99 | 78 97% | 2.3k | $19k (exactly $18,697) | IM/MORTAL Studios, Pierce Papke / Ekpap | |
 | Story of the Olivia | $12.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $1.6k (exactly $1,559) | Uğur ÇELİK | |
 | さくらいろテトラプリズム | $24.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $750 (exactly $750) | blooming spectrum | |
 | Frostveil: The Last Winter | $3.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | Alabarda Gaming | |
 | I Am Quadrober! | $0.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $446 (exactly $446) | QuadroTeam | |
 | Four Nights at Yuki's -Yotsuya no Yuki- | $11.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $360 (exactly $360) | Sibyl Networks | |
 | Legendary Tomb digger | $1.59 | 4 50% | 120 | $191 (exactly $191) | Tide Studio | |
 | I Offered You the Crown | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Winter Twilight Productions, LLC |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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