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Should I ship a Gambling Choose Your Own Adventure game?
Choose Your Own Adventure + Gambling
Only 10 developers shipped a Gambling Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lust Poker Club, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $490, ×4.2 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 14 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $494 (exactly $494) |
| Top 25% | $4.3k (exactly $4,320) |
| Top 5% | $21k (exactly $21,333) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 2 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
- Gambling
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
- Systems
- Choose Your Own Adventure, Gambling
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 75% positive over 164 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Choose Your Own Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + FMVFair
- + FlightFair
- + SportsFair
- + Word GameFair
- + MilitaryFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + 3D FighterLong shot
- + NavalPoor odds
- + Time ManipulationPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | STONKS-9800: Stock Market Simulator | · EA older | $9.99 | 3,124 95% | 94k | $936k (exactly $936,263) | TERNOX |
| | Sinsations | older | $24.99 | 43 93% | 1.3k | $32k (exactly $32,237) | Frigid Delights Studios LLC |
| | Lust Poker Club | $7.99 | 89 78% | 2.7k | $21k (exactly $21,333) | Cutie Booty | |
| | The Divine Deception | older | $14.99 | 38 86% | 1.1k | $17k (exactly $17,089) | Themisian |
| | Usagi Health Club | older | $14.99 | 28 60% | 840 | $13k (exactly $12,592) | PUSH! Soft |
| | Survive In Russia | older | $5.99 | 50 62% | 1.5k | $9.0k (exactly $8,985) | Alexander Sablin |
| | Curt Maddox | older | $7.99 | 34 85% | 1.0k | $8.2k (exactly $8,150) | Lesson of Passion |
| | Casino Management Simulator | · EA | $12.99 | 20 60% | 600 | $7.8k (exactly $7,794) | BroxStudios |
| | Spicy Strip Poker | older | $5.99 | 32 75% | 960 | $5.8k (exactly $5,750) | Gambler |
| | King of Phoenix | older | $4.99 | 35 60% | 1.1k | $5.2k (exactly $5,240) | King Key Games |
| | Butter Side Down | $6.00 | 24 100% | 720 | $4.3k (exactly $4,320) | Kalle MacDonald, Lachlan MacDonald | |
| | Fortune Paradox | $4.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | StoneBreaker Studios | |
| | She Plays Dirty | $3.29 | 5 0% | 150 | $494 (exactly $494) | Myriad | |
| | Idle Tiers | $1.99 | 8 12% | 240 | $478 (exactly $478) | IdleClick Games | |
| | Suki Suki Love | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | 0_skailer_0 | |
| | Wizards 95 | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | backpocketgames | |
| | O.B.O.L | $6.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | MrEliptik, Woland | |
| | STILL SPINNING | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | sakanafurai |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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