Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Military

Of 23 developers who shipped a Military Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $120. Revenue is up 135% on the market; 24 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 135% on the market, 24 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $450k → $239 → $14k → $898 → $1.6k → $299 → $2.9k (still earning) → $450 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $9.7k (exactly $9,684)
Top 5% $249k (exactly $249,444)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 74
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 135% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Visual Novel, Choices Matter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,599 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $900, 1 in 4 over $9.6k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  7. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  8. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  9. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  10. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  11. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced
  12. + Time ManipulationPoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 24 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Muv-Luv Alternative older $39.99 3,447 95% 103k $4.1M (exactly $4,135,366) aNCHOR Inc.
Rule the Waves 3 older $39.99 855 87% 26k $1.0M (exactly $1,025,744) Naval Warfare Simulations
Corsairs Legacy - Pirate Action RPG & Sea Battles · EA older $19.99 1,094 74% 33k $656k (exactly $656,072) Mauris, Tech-5 UG
Finnish Army Simulator · EA older $29.99 500 88% 15k $450k (exactly $449,850) Please Be Patient
Stories from Sol: The Gun-Dog $14.99 843 90% 25k $379k (exactly $379,097) Space Colony Studios
Rise of Piracy · EA $15.99 520 77% 16k $249k (exactly $249,444) IrishJohnGames
Xenus 2. White gold. older $14.99 268 76% 8.0k $121k (exactly $120,520) Deep Shadows
Phantom PHANTOM OF INFERNO NITRO ARCHIVE $29.99 108 94% 3.2k $97k (exactly $97,168) NITRO PLUS, NITRO ORIGIN
Fog of War: Book One older $11.99 205 77% 6.2k $74k (exactly $73,738) Story Machine Studios
Sea Dogs: City of Abandoned Ships older $7.99 245 76% 7.4k $59k (exactly $58,726) Akella
Wings of Empire · EA $14.99 49 87% 1.5k $22k (exactly $22,035) Droid Productions
Cerulean Invasion $18.99 21 76% 630 $12k (exactly $11,964) Vincere Studio
Fog of War: Book Two · EA $16.99 19 84% 570 $9.7k (exactly $9,684) Story Machine Studios
World War II Armored Recon $8.99 16 87% 480 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Hosted Games
Posthuman: Guardians vs PSION $6.99 14 42% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Choice of Games
Alexandria IV $11.99 5 80% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) J. M. Beraldo, Time Galleon
Story of the Olivia $12.99 4 0% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) Uğur ÇELİK

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.