Do I ship it?

GamesFlightFlight + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Flight game?

Flight + Choose Your Own Adventure

Only 9 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Flight game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mesoké, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is up 7375% on the market; 11 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 7375% on the market, 11 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $505 → $525k → $299 → $10k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Flight + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,427)
Top 25% $3.7k (exactly $3,748)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $10,791)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 39
Announced 11
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 7375% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight, Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 24,285 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 11 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  2. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  3. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  4. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  5. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  6. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  7. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  9. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  10. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  11. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds26 devs · median $9.7k · 67 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Avorion older $24.99 13,001 90% 390k $9.7M (exactly $9,746,850) Boxelware
《蜀山:初章》买断版 older $24.99 5,772 74% 173k $4.3M (exactly $4,327,268) 重楼工作室
轮回修仙路 older $16.99 2,945 82% 88k $1.5M (exactly $1,501,066) 烟水寒工作室
Spirit Realm · EA older $18.18 1,379 76% 41k $752k (exactly $752,107) 深圳市灵境互娱科技有限公司
The Witch of Fern Island older $24.99 700 69% 21k $525k (exactly $524,790) Enjoy Studio S.A.
Earth Analog older $19.99 101 65% 3.0k $61k (exactly $60,570) Funcraft Games
SEX Airlines 🔞✈️ older $9.99 151 61% 4.5k $45k (exactly $45,255) Play and Cum 💦
PixPhys · EA older $3.99 193 73% 5.8k $23k (exactly $23,102) Red Starship
Flying Tobacco Eggs older $39.99 13 84% 390 $16k (exactly $15,596) Gamesforgames
Mesoké $11.99 30 90% 900 $11k (exactly $10,791) Mystik'art
Don't Crash $4.99 68 98% 2.0k $10k (exactly $10,180) Override Studio
SKY LEGENDS - An Aeropostal Epic $24.99 5 60% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) SUPER AC
Magical Runes $0.99 100 88% 3.0k $3.0k (exactly $2,970) ZERO5GAMES
Red Panda: The Quiet Path $8.99 9 44% 270 $2.4k (exactly $2,427) Uberbax-Gaming
Seeker 3 $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Sheer Studios
Two Rocket Ascent $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) HobakGrove
Bird Like $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) SoftPower
Moon Carrier $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) UNPREDICTABLE GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.