Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + Word Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Word Game Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Word Game

Of 55 developers who shipped a Word Game Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×12 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 65 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 65 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Word Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 55
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $897 → $12k → $1.6k → $1.8k → $1.5k (still earning) → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Word Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 55
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,436)
Top 25% $4.9k (exactly $4,947)
Top 5% $192k (exactly $191,636)
Developers, 2 yr 55
Released games 120
Announced 65
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure, Word Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Visual Novel, Choices Matter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Text-Based
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 9,971 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $4.9k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 7 in 10 of the 27 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  6. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  7. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  8. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  9. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  10. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  11. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced
  12. + Time ManipulationPoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 24 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Word Game older $34.99 5,930 93% 178k $6.2M (exactly $6,224,721) Team9
Homicipher $13.99 7,821 96% 235k $3.3M (exactly $3,282,474) 八名木Games
Far Away older $12.99 7,598 94% 228k $3.0M (exactly $2,960,941) Gratesca
WILL: A Wonderful World / WILL:美好世界 older $14.99 4,588 92% 138k $2.1M (exactly $2,063,224) WMY Studio
7 Days to End with You older $7.99 3,327 87% 100k $797k (exactly $797,482) Lizardry
Psychedelica of the Ashen Hawk older $29.99 600 84% 18k $540k (exactly $539,820) IDEA FACTORY
The Expression Amrilato older $24.99 682 97% 20k $511k (exactly $511,295) SukeraSparo
Cellveillance $15.99 531 85% 16k $255k (exactly $254,721) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
纸上的魔法使 $29.99 213 89% 6.4k $192k (exactly $191,636) UGUISUKAGURA
The Bible older $4.99 965 87% 29k $144k (exactly $144,460) Bible Games
Insects Awaken $8.99 398 88% 12k $107k (exactly $107,341) HelloMeow
The Simen Rumors $8.00 430 78% 13k $103k (exactly $103,200) 羊之口
Uberich: Advent Sinners $14.99 151 73% 4.5k $68k (exactly $67,905) NBDR Games
Throne of Monsters 怪物的王座 $12.99 130 92% 3.9k $51k (exactly $50,661) 雏形游戏
TIME TO STARⅡ偶像之路终极版 $12.99 124 70% 3.7k $48k (exactly $48,323) 随便做做游戏组
Ghostwriter Workshop $10.99 137 94% 4.1k $45k (exactly $45,169) 秘密結社マテンロウ計画, Studio Dragonet
MAELSTROM LEGACY: The Tesla Mystery $10.99 36 69% 1.1k $12k (exactly $11,869) Wistfulware

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.