Do I ship it?

Games › Choose Your Own Adventure › Choose Your Own Adventure + Idler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Idler Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Idler

Of 41 developers who shipped an Idler Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×6.0 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is flat on the market; 36 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.0 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 36 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Idler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 41
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $24k → $60k → $44k → $1.9k → $2.8k → $959 → $535 (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Idler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 41
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,389)
Top 5% $54k (exactly $53,514)
Developers, 2 yr 41
Released games 101
Announced 36
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure, Idler; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Visual Novel, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Story Rich, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 2,510 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $720, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $53k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  9. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  10. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  11. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced
  12. + Time ManipulationPoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 24 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

THE LONGING 2020 · $3.1M My MILF Stepmom💋 2023 · $135k Fast Food Manager 2021 · $107k FEED THE AI 2026 · $100k Sex Hotel Simulator 🏩 2023 · $88k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
THE LONGING older $14.99 6,977 92% 209k $3.1M (exactly $3,137,557) Studio Seufz
My MILF Stepmom💋 older $6.99 644 61% 19k $135k (exactly $135,047) DuaWolf
Fast Food Manager older $14.99 238 69% 7.1k $107k (exactly $107,029) Cyber Eye
FEED THE AI $5.99 557 90% 17k $100k (exactly $100,093) Weird Kid Games
Sex Hotel Simulator 🏩 older $9.99 294 50% 8.8k $88k (exactly $88,112) Octo Games
Monster Girls: You Can't Say No 🔞 $14.99 158 91% 4.7k $71k (exactly $71,053) Lewd Star
Rabbit Hole older $7.99 264 78% 7.9k $63k (exactly $63,281) Nikita Ustinov, Nikolay Lazarev
SEX Massage 🔞 older $9.99 201 64% 6.0k $60k (exactly $60,240) BanzaiProject
Bonjour, Cream Inside 💦 $14.99 119 68% 3.6k $54k (exactly $53,514) Juicy Peach Games 🍑
College Sex Party 🔞 older $9.99 169 56% 5.1k $51k (exactly $50,649) Octo Games
Pornographer $0.99 1,214 88% 36k $36k (exactly $36,056) DT
FRESHMAN: Project SEX 🔞 $14.99 80 73% 2.4k $36k (exactly $35,976) Lewd Star
Sex Dorm🔞 $9.99 116 75% 3.5k $35k (exactly $34,765) Play and Cum 💦
Sex Clinic 18+ $9.99 112 83% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Play and Cum 💦
Succubus Contract I $14.99 61 90% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) Stick4Luck
Voyeur Villa - Harem Manager $19.99 44 75% 1.3k $26k (exactly $26,387) Sexy Hentai Games Factory
LAST HAREM $16.99 49 57% 1.5k $25k (exactly $24,975) Kokudo Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.