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Should I ship a Time Manipulation Choose Your Own Adventure game?
Time Manipulation + Choose Your Own Adventure
Only 9 developers shipped a Time Manipulation Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sovereign Tower, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $13k, ×26 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $1.8M, ×3897 the market median. Revenue is up 4750% on the market; 24 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $719 (exactly $719) |
|---|---|
| Median | $13k (exactly $12,558) |
| Top 25% | $35k (exactly $34,862) |
| Top 5% | $1.9M (exactly $1,851,274) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 35 |
| Announced | 24 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4750% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Time Manipulation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Time Manipulation, Choose Your Own Adventure
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 7,924 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $720. 24 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Time Manipulation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + DemonsFair
- + CapitalismFair
- + ModernFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + RacingFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + RobotsPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + DetectivePoor odds
- + NoirPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
Comparable games
Sovereign Tower 2026 · $1.9M 
DevilConnection 2025 · $975k 
A Guidebook of Babel 2023 · $394k 
Eternal Threads 2022 · $326k 
her tears were my light 2022 · $70k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sovereign Tower | $19.99 | 3,087 93% | 93k | $1.9M (exactly $1,851,274) | WILD WITS GAMES | |
| | DevilConnection | $16.66 | 1,951 98% | 59k | $975k (exactly $975,110) | ChaoGames | |
| | A Guidebook of Babel | older | $14.99 | 877 92% | 26k | $394k (exactly $394,387) | StarryStarry |
| | Eternal Threads | older | $19.99 | 543 87% | 16k | $326k (exactly $325,637) | Cosmonaut Studios |
| | her tears were my light | older | $2.99 | 780 99% | 23k | $70k (exactly $69,966) | NomnomNami |
 | Time Lock VR 2 | older | $12.99 | 170 88% | 5.1k | $66k (exactly $66,249) | WR-VRG |
 | Penny Larceny: Gig Economy Supervillain | older | $11.99 | 102 96% | 3.1k | $37k (exactly $36,689) | Fiction Factory Games |
 | Unaware in The City | $5.99 | 194 81% | 5.8k | $35k (exactly $34,862) | Mr. Unaware Studios | |
 | Fate of Kai | older | $6.99 | 166 90% | 5.0k | $35k (exactly $34,810) | TRYLIGHT GAME STUDIO |
 | A Better World | $11.99 | 54 64% | 1.6k | $19k (exactly $19,424) | Ludogram, ARTE France | |
 | Hank: Drowning On Dry Land | $2.99 | 140 95% | 4.2k | $13k (exactly $12,558) | My Next Games | |
 | Macht: Cosmic Engine | · EA | $24.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $3.7k (exactly $3,748) | Kestro Games |
 | Glusiverse | · EA | $7.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $719 (exactly $719) | Trusiga |
 | Super Clown Obstacles | $3.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software | |
 | TruckerX | $7.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $240 (exactly $240) | Aldrik Ramaekers |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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